Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Gentle Mates GC vs Twisted Minds Orchid (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf3057a09dc0ec02a3fd5c00e4c7b93f27c0fbd0594ef1160e79434e093db9b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gentle Mates GCof Gentle Mates GC, Twisted Minds Orchid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,983
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,013
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,983 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Gentle Mates GC | 22c | 999.98$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.99 | 297 | 33.3%99 W · 198 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…4771backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 78c | 805.53$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c55…14bbbacked Gentle Mates GC | 5c | 370$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 9cpaid | +900%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5d…c205backed Gentle Mates GC | 5c | 365$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8143…760dbacked Gentle Mates GC | 5c | 320$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 22cpaid | +634.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc12a…d831backed Gentle Mates GC | 5c | 311$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 6cpaid | +900%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d1c0backed Gentle Mates GC | 5c | 274$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 7cpaid | +900%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3084…2099backed Gentle Mates GC | 5c | 221$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.95per pick | 5cpaid | +1,900%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe747…0af1backed Gentle Mates GC | 5c | 213$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 7cpaid | +900%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x302f…627cbacked Gentle Mates GC | 5c | 210$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.95per pick | 5cpaid | +1,900%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507c…6c0cbacked Twisted Minds Orchid | 78c | 196.12$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Gentle Mates GC | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe4…d0f1backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 77c | 99.85$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.88 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Gentle Mates GC | 29c | 49.16$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.9 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38b7…cfa7backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 70c | 47$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 78c | 35.04$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.28 | 321 | 41.7%134 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 78c | 13.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Gentle Mates GC vs Twisted Minds Orchid (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stagethis page
- Map Handicap: M8.GC (-1.5) vs Twisted Minds Orchid (+1.5)Twisted Minds Orchid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.