CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdfbdac9b3352cfed9935b2cb7be5bf6df46a2a826c1abc227ccd1a63951de471
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FUT Esportsof FURIA, FUT Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,393
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,134
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,393 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x61d0…6934backed FURIA | 0c | 7,980$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed FURIA | 40c | 6,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.98 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed FURIA | 0c | 3,681$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec4…6529backed FUT Esports | 60c | 2,747$1,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098.94 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44fc…9728backed FUT Esports | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked FUT Esports | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.21 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…8795backed FUT Esports | 62c | 850$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322 | 173 | 47.4%82 W · 91 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked FURIA | 37c | 600$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked FUT Esports | 60c | 581.67$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.67 | 656 | 62.3%409 W · 247 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d5…c615backed FURIA | 46c | 485.38$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.85 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22ae…af00backed FUT Esports | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 264 | 51.5%136 W · 128 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x423f…eedcbacked FUT Esports | 60c | 260$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked FURIA | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 362 | 45.3%164 W · 198 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed FUT Esports | 60c | 188$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.2 | 633 | 45.2%286 W · 347 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed FUT Esports | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed FUT Esports | 58c | 78.79$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.26 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked FUT Esports | 57c | 58.14$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9d…9b0ebacked FUT Esports | 54c | 49.79$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 232 | 34.9%81 W · 151 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b2…2e58backed FURIA | 42c | 35.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff77…b6b4backed FURIA | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10ad…827cbacked FUT Esports | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 306 | 39.5%121 W · 185 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4dd…4f27backed FUT Esports | 57c | 18.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 509 | 47%239 W · 270 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47e1…c2babacked FUT Esports | 60c | 18.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 471 | 46.7%220 W · 251 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group StageFURIA won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports - Map 1 WinnerFUT Esports won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports - Map 2 WinnerFURIA won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.