Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Fritz vs Basavareddy
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdfec40d4b012a398dc5f1ff60f8dca81505ff63133994f934759e17741b81036
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Basavareddyof Fritz, Basavareddy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,942
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,748
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,942 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Basavareddy | 30c | 714.29$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Fritz | 70c | 714.29$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 459 | 57.5%264 W · 195 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Basavareddy | 79c | 617.19$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.28 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Fritz | 22c | 504.84$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.36 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Basavareddy | 37c | 499.99$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.69 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Fritz | 63c | 469.44$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.75 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bc…ae37backed Fritz | 40c | 223.8$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8005…16eabacked Basavareddy | 33c | 150$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.5 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.23per pick | 36cpaid | +60%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Fritz | 67c | 150$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Basavareddy | 60c | 53$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.02 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Basavareddy | 27c | 50.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7913…f3e2backed Fritz | 67c | 44.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 69cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Basavareddy | 59c | 40.8$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Basavareddy | 33c | 39.93$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.75 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed0d…3646backed Basavareddy | 32c | 32.68$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.13 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ad…ae38backed Fritz | 72c | 30.56$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08be…bea8backed Fritz | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 93 | 74.2%69 W · 24 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Basavareddy | 68c | 27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.63 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f2…b3d8backed Fritz | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 75cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Fritz | 69c | 16.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 1,354 | 43.9%595 W · 759 L | -62.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Fritz vs Basavareddythis page
- Roland Garros ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Nishesh BasavareddyNishesh Basavareddy won
- Set Handicap: Fritz (-2.5) vs Basavareddy (+2.5)Basavareddy won
- Taylor Fritz vs. Nishesh Basavareddy: Total Sets O/U 4.5Under 4.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.