Tennis · resolved market
ITF Vacaria: Daria Egorova vs Martina Capurro Taborda
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe01af34114f0f3a9092e84d34a4acf39c16f72dd878433a07537fc4c12919217
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Daria Egorovaof Daria Egorova, Martina Capurro Taborda
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,907
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,974
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,907 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Martina Capurro Taborda | 26c | 1,471$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.94 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Martina Capurro Taborda | 41c | 1,345$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.94 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Daria Egorova | 80c | 976.3$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.15 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…d241backed Daria Egorova | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.46 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +37%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Daria Egorova | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Martina Capurro Taborda | 31c | 372.29$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.15 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Daria Egorova | 69c | 334.78$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.78 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Martina Capurro Taborda | 18c | 250.49$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.14 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Martina Capurro Taborda | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Daria Egorova | 59c | 213.39$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.59 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Daria Egorova | 60c | 208.33$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.33 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +86.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Daria Egorova | 56c | 203.57$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.57 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Martina Capurro Taborda | 40c | 202$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.8 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd169…8ff6backed Martina Capurro Taborda | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 284 | 37.3%106 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Daria Egorova | 60c | 109.92$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.97 | 306 | 44.1%135 W · 171 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe2…697abacked Martina Capurro Taborda | 46c | 103.91$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.8 | 120 | 29.2%35 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Daria Egorova | 56c | 94.64$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.64 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4318…9a94backed Martina Capurro Taborda | 16c | 94.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Daria Egorova | 56c | 91.07$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.07 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Daria Egorova | 56c | 80.36$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.36 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Daria Egorova | 56c | 76.79$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.79 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca0…4b69backed Martina Capurro Taborda | 31c | 75.52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.41 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Daria Egorova | 67c | 71.03$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.38 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Daria Egorova | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Daria Egorova | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Daria Egorova | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Daria Egorova | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Daria Egorova | 79c | 53.16$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked Daria Egorova | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 440 | 51.6%227 W · 213 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Daria Egorova | 59c | 48.88$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.04 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Daria Egorova | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Daria Egorova | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 490 | 56.9%279 W · 211 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb0…15a6backed Daria Egorova | 69c | 36.01$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 70 | 12.9%9 W · 61 L | -21.0wins | -0.30per pick | 43cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 25-0.22 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa4…5e60backed Daria Egorova | 73c | 36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 74 | 75.7%56 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Daria Egorova | 57c | 31.85$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x071f…92bdbacked Daria Egorova | 60c | 26.43$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 1,076 | 73.8%794 W · 282 L | +41.1wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Daria Egorova | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc9…ab1cbacked Daria Egorova | 76c | 24.21$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.81 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Daria Egorova | 67c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.