Serie A · resolved market
Spread: Inter (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe060ffa11ee4f25f2f48b4022e8e9d6770aa82280e3f73417072f8f170317969
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Interof Inter, Fiorentina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,225
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,591
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,225 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Fiorentina | 52c | 4,368$2,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,273.07 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Inter | 48c | 3,011$1,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,566 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffab…a290backed Inter | 48c | 1,104$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Fiorentina | 58c | 399.6$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.3 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80bd…beddbacked Inter | 48c | 207.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Fiorentina | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb95f…c250backed Inter | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ca…2c36backed Inter | 46c | 141.3$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d77…b7bebacked Fiorentina | 70c | 114$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Fiorentina | 53c | 113.41$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.63 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x883f…aad2backed Inter | 46c | 107.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.86 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Inter | 48c | 90$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…93d7backed Inter | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7e…425ebacked Inter | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Inter | 43c | 46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.22 | 272 | 26.8%73 W · 199 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Inter | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Inter | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7049…2d56backed Inter | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b89…53c9backed Inter | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Fiorentina | 54c | 31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8009…ca1bbacked Fiorentina | 56c | 28.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Inter (-1.5)this page
- Inter vs. Fiorentina: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Inter vs. Fiorentina: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.