Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-02-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0685204f039dfc42577995461ef085f4348e3cfc9ad09d3c914edd5fa75b42f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $144,041
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $178,466
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $144,041 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 2c | 31,530$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.18 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 1c | 11,200$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.26 | 71 | 7%5 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -89.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 9c | 5,499$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.26 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 16c | 5,474$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.86 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked No | 1c | 4,883$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.83 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +6.3wins | +0.19per pick | 17cpaid | +862.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 5c | 4,800$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.84 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 17c | 3,050$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.5 | 126 | 13.5%17 W · 109 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf49…e7f4backed No | 17c | 2,941$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 3c | 2,576$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.17 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 8c | 1,823$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.46 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…0a8dbacked No | 15c | 1,566$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.67 | 62 | 17.7%11 W · 51 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x127f…8a29backed No | 12c | 1,400$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.91 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed No | 1c | 1,250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e41…a1c1backed No | 17c | 1,200$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 6c | 1,149$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.06 | 84 | 29.8%25 W · 59 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 9c | 999.1$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.92 | 275 | 42.5%117 W · 158 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 17c | 773$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.41 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6e…2a01backed No | 17c | 617.65$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 3c | 576.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 341 | 58.9%201 W · 140 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc550…8e46backed No | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 8c | 499.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…77b7backed Yes | 80c | 400$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No | 16c | 307.2$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.15 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 206 | 47.6%98 W · 108 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed No | 18c | 227.93$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.85 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked No | 17c | 222$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.74 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 17c | 219.39$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked No | 17c | 207$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.19 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a32…9875backed No | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 16c | 163.29$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.87 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 8c | 154.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 19c | 149.61$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.39 | 570 | 19.8%113 W · 457 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed No | 18c | 134.36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4469backed No | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed No | 16c | 115.24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked No | 17c | 96.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 101 | 33.7%34 W · 67 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed No | 17c | 88.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 80c | 65.31$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.06 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x074e…317fbacked No | 18c | 59.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 17c | 59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 124 | 56.5%70 W · 54 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3636…1a57backed Yes | 78c | 50.02$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 19 | 89.5%17 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.19per pick | 70cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ce…fc99backed No | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb849…bce6backed Yes | 79c | 33.95$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sporting CP win on 2026-02-27?this page
- Will Estoril Praia win on 2026-02-27?No won
- Will Sporting CP vs. Estoril Praia end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.