CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs 33 (BO3) - Exort Meteor Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe098701afc94753cf871de94780dcfdb7a5de39b2e142f7fa6b384bf78f6abd9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- JiJieHaoof JiJieHao, 33
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,978
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,978 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked JiJieHao | 37c | 2,100$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,322.99 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…d461backed 33 | 63c | 2,062$1,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.24 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdab8…1bc7backed 33 | 64c | 623$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.72 | 108 | 41.7%45 W · 63 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked 33 | 65c | 547.93$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.14 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed 33 | 65c | 400$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 328 | 45.1%148 W · 180 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedd0…731cbacked 33 | 60c | 334.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 330 | 60.9%201 W · 129 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked JiJieHao | 38c | 294.19$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.4 | 217 | 37.3%81 W · 136 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed JiJieHao | 34c | 277.41$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.09 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed 33 | 66c | 212.3$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 452 | 44.5%201 W · 251 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7de0…a7edbacked 33 | 79c | 100$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f9…d587backed 33 | 25c | 63.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 350 | 33.4%117 W · 233 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked 33 | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbda…8bd5backed 33 | 64c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed JiJieHao | 38c | 39.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.73 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x382d…eb3abacked JiJieHao | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 252 | 50.4%127 W · 125 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c80…5845backed JiJieHao | 63c | 24.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked 33 | 66c | 23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 114 | 50%57 W · 57 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed 33 | 66c | 23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x23e2…8a3cbacked JiJieHao | 77c | 21.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bbb…2948backed JiJieHao | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 170 | 70%119 W · 51 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs 33 (BO3) - Exort Meteor Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs 33 - Map 1 WinnerJiJieHao won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.