Euroleague · resolved market
Bilbao Basket vs. Joventut
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0be8cc467f7a1a50ae78ca8358ce69240a86f5b896a2a26b33719be69be3b97
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bilbao Basketof Bilbao Basket, Joventut
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,698
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,804
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,698 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Bilbao Basket | 50c | 2,967$1,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,476.89 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Joventut | 50c | 2,211$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Joventut | 4c | 972.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.43 | 159 | 8.2%13 W · 146 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Joventut | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.9wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Joventut | 2c | 629.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bilbao Basket | 54c | 296.6$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.94 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Bilbao Basket | 51c | 196.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.07 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5baf…3e56backed Joventut | 49c | 139.7$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.45 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Joventut | 47c | 135$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.45 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Bilbao Basket | 51c | 121.54$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.54 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2d…1100backed Joventut | 49c | 102.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf01e…aed4backed Joventut | 49c | 101.54$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.74 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Joventut | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Joventut | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…a3d3backed Bilbao Basket | 53c | 39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a1…be8bbacked Bilbao Basket | 53c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a7…261bbacked Bilbao Basket | 53c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Bilbao Basket | 54c | 24.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb520…60bcbacked Bilbao Basket | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.