Tennis · resolved market
ITF Olomouc: Petra Sedlackova vs Nina Vargova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0d9b61adf829da9135a6b707b345a3e7c6a961932fd019c44b414c713508c33
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Petra Sedlackovaof Petra Sedlackova, Nina Vargova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,906
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,989
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,906 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Petra Sedlackova | 32c | 990.57$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.45 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Petra Sedlackova | 22c | 559.19$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.9 | 140 | 28.6%40 W · 100 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Petra Sedlackova | 24c | 466.6$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.62 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe07b…b7c9backed Nina Vargova | 70c | 355.71$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d79…9e95backed Nina Vargova | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3b…9035backed Nina Vargova | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 313 | 55.3%173 W · 140 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Nina Vargova | 76c | 134$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.98 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Nina Vargova | 76c | 106.84$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.2 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nina Vargova | 75c | 90.77$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.25 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Nina Vargova | 78c | 87$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.86 | 1,091 | 60.2%657 W · 434 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea32…8870backed Nina Vargova | 76c | 84.81$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.46 | 101 | 59.4%60 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Nina Vargova | 27c | 64.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Nina Vargova | 76c | 59.28$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.05 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Petra Sedlackova | 33c | 46.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.4 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2149…51bfbacked Nina Vargova | 39c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…98cabacked Nina Vargova | 76c | 44.2$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.59 | 410 | 61.5%252 W · 158 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Petra Sedlackova | 35c | 37.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.45 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd169…8ff6backed Nina Vargova | 31c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 284 | 37.3%106 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Nina Vargova | 76c | 35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Nina Vargova | 59c | 28.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b04…6477backed Nina Vargova | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Nina Vargova | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 449 | 52.8%237 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Petra Sedlackova | 71c | 25.18$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.23 | 3,155 | 57.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L | +176.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Nina Vargova | 79c | 23.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 330 | 43.9%145 W · 185 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe01…b45dbacked Nina Vargova | 76c | 21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 223 | 77.6%173 W · 50 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 77cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Petra Sedlackova | 63c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 429 | 51.3%220 W · 209 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2433…b690backed Nina Vargova | 70c | 17.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -5.4wins | -0.32per pick | 61cpaid | -57%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…ed0dbacked Nina Vargova | 76c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 324 | 52.5%170 W · 154 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.