CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Entropy vs Honvéd - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe11c402e170e4b65b65cfb78069375042acfa0279f03592596f807bf4c374520
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Honvédof Entropy, Honvéd
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,264
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,201
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,264 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Entropy | 63c | 1,078$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.25 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Entropy | 71c | 941.47$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.24 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…6704backed Honvéd | 27c | 820.08$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.23 | 205 | 62.4%128 W · 77 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Entropy | 76c | 649.52$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.36 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Honvéd | 41c | 569.69$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.35 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Honvéd | 28c | 411.9$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.56 | 557 | 38.4%214 W · 343 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec8c…3bcdbacked Entropy | 71c | 408$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.36 | 351 | 31.1%109 W · 242 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Entropy | 79c | 299.94$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.18 | 170 | 34.7%59 W · 111 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…9077backed Honvéd | 22c | 291.03$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.03 | 117 | 45.3%53 W · 64 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9051…32d2backed Honvéd | 30c | 200.89$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.89 | 308 | 59.1%182 W · 126 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Honvéd | 30c | 177.25$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.92 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Honvéd | 27c | 149.64$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.93 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Honvéd | 41c | 139$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.57 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Entropy | 77c | 123.45$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.85 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed Honvéd | 34c | 118.83$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.84 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…954ebacked Honvéd | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.64 | 216 | 53.2%115 W · 101 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d42…cde0backed Honvéd | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Honvéd | 22c | 83.24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.93 | 655 | 46.9%307 W · 348 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24eb…75eebacked Honvéd | 33c | 80.1$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.67 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…2ab5backed Honvéd | 33c | 78.79$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.79 | 325 | 44.3%144 W · 181 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f86…e074backed Honvéd | 42c | 66.86$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.78 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5cc…e18fbacked Honvéd | 29c | 62.07$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.07 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…dd57backed Honvéd | 29c | 52.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.23 | 123 | 40.7%50 W · 73 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cc…7262backed Honvéd | 30c | 45.83$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.05 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6216…1bd4backed Entropy | 77c | 20.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Entropy | 69c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 445 | 63.8%284 W · 161 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Entropy vs Honvéd - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Entropy vs Honvéd (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #5 Group BEntropy won
- Counter-Strike: Entropy vs Honvéd - Map 2 WinnerEntropy won
- Map Handicap: Honvéd (-1.5) vs Entropy (+1.5)Entropy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.