Other European Leagues · resolved market
Hibernian FC vs. Motherwell FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe132e272d5d4654b58784e945b5d60b24ff669e66fca99f7b712224ea2bf7b53
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,891
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,697
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,891 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 19c | 2,570$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,070.05 | 75 | 16%12 W · 63 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 80c | 1,658$1,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,323.27 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 31c | 1,102$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.9 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3790…5e8bbacked Over | 76c | 1,040$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.4 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 75cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad7c…6244backed Over | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 23cpaid | +150%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4871…0742backed Over | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | -5.8wins | -0.13per pick | 71cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3c…4b61backed Under | 17c | 229.97$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.87 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 75c | 177.68$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.42 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eea…df80backed Under | 75c | 173.44$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Over | 75c | 171.8$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.85 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 24c | 164.5$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.02 | 383 | 59.3%227 W · 156 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 63c | 128.28$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.63 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.64 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 78c | 107.23$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.64 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Under | 75c | 105.21$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.3 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x708e…d03fbacked Over | 55c | 51.65$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.41 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…3c59backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 75c | 39.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.88 | 75 | 80%60 W · 15 L | +12.7wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5617…a1f2backed Over | 69c | 22.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 71cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a97…90b1backed Over | 72c | 18.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…e91cbacked Over | 73c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Over | 71c | 14.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 87 | 82.8%72 W · 15 L | +10.5wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hibernian FC vs. Motherwell FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Hibernian FC vs. Motherwell FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Hibernian FC vs. Motherwell FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Hibernian FC vs. Motherwell FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Hibernian FC vs. Motherwell FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Hibernian FC vs. Motherwell FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Motherwell FC (-1.5)Hibernian FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.