College Football · resolved market
Eastern Michigan vs. Miami (OH)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1497de045ecc80d456d6545a49973b1099cf9f1b3d13fcafbd17e8d3631e3db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Miami (OH)of Eastern Michigan, Miami (OH)
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $102,743
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $103,358
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,743 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Eastern Michigan | 21c | 67,691$14,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,213.12 | 327 | 45.6%149 W · 178 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Miami (OH) | 79c | 29,986$23,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,297.01 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Miami (OH) | 79c | 22,151$17,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,651.67 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Miami (OH) | 79c | 13,051$10,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,740.63 | 377 | 49.6%187 W · 190 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Eastern Michigan | 20c | 7,500$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 381 | 42.5%162 W · 219 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Miami (OH) | 80c | 5,617$4,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.44 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Eastern Michigan | 19c | 3,835$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.61 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Eastern Michigan | 0c | 3,314$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 81 | 4.9%4 W · 77 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Eastern Michigan | 1c | 2,823$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Miami (OH) | 80c | 2,625$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Miami (OH) | 79c | 2,349$1,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.92 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f9…66ffbacked Eastern Michigan | 20c | 1,569$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Miami (OH) | 80c | 1,407$1,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.4 | 173 | 61.3%106 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Eastern Michigan | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Miami (OH) | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…8a6ebacked Eastern Michigan | 21c | 949.11$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Eastern Michigan | 19c | 725.33$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.69 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4569…ac08backed Eastern Michigan | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ab…baf7backed Eastern Michigan | 20c | 400$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61fc…fc27backed Eastern Michigan | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6404…05efbacked Eastern Michigan | 10c | 300$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Eastern Michigan | 18c | 240$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…3099backed Eastern Michigan | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 168 | 39.9%67 W · 101 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Eastern Michigan | 8c | 193.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.07 | 276 | 48.9%135 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Eastern Michigan | 8c | 182.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Eastern Michigan | 7c | 157.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb9…4734backed Eastern Michigan | 14c | 149$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc4…8eacbacked Eastern Michigan | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x384a…39c0backed Miami (OH) | 79c | 75$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Miami (OH) | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 241 | 57.3%138 W · 103 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33cf…568cbacked Eastern Michigan | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Eastern Michigan vs. Miami (OH)this page
- Eastern Michigan vs. Miami (OH): O/U 46.5Over won
- Spread: Miami (OH) (-12.5)Miami (OH) won
- Spread: Miami (OH) (-13.5)Miami (OH) won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.