MLB · resolved market
KBO: KT Wiz vs. NC Dinos
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe14f0d36aa3e9a3d28c05c27ac8a123c8807ea92a21c83b724dd06bde17138ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NC Dinosof KT Wiz, NC Dinos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,991
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,192
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,991 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed KT Wiz | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.99 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed KT Wiz | 51c | 799.98$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.99 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked NC Dinos | 49c | 592.05$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.21 | 208 | 48.1%100 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked NC Dinos | 47c | 458.49$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.87 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed NC Dinos | 49c | 344.33$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.61 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76e4…febcbacked KT Wiz | 51c | 309.55$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.82 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d2…fd21backed KT Wiz | 54c | 281.56$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.68 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed NC Dinos | 50c | 232.29$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.14 | 192 | 46.9%90 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed NC Dinos | 49c | 201.64$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.83 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed NC Dinos | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.25per pick | 44cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9950…1432backed NC Dinos | 50c | 199.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.92 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed KT Wiz | 53c | 180.75$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.7 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed KT Wiz | 54c | 180.27$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.24 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…add6backed KT Wiz | 53c | 104.11$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.67 | 332 | 28.3%94 W · 238 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed NC Dinos | 50c | 98.94$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.47 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed NC Dinos | 50c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ee…0267backed KT Wiz | 51c | 84.92$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.31 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed NC Dinos | 79c | 70.5$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 873 | 52.7%460 W · 413 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked KT Wiz | 26c | 65.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 401 | 46.1%185 W · 216 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed NC Dinos | 50c | 49.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.72 | 271 | 46.9%127 W · 144 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked NC Dinos | 50c | 49.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.72 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6687…b9ddbacked NC Dinos | 50c | 49.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.72 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked NC Dinos | 50c | 49.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.72 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed NC Dinos | 50c | 49.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.72 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked NC Dinos | 50c | 49.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.72 | 452 | 46.2%209 W · 243 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed NC Dinos | 50c | 49.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.72 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked NC Dinos | 50c | 49.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.72 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed NC Dinos | 50c | 49.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.72 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed NC Dinos | 47c | 48.41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.66 | 200 | 44.5%89 W · 111 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed KT Wiz | 50c | 43.47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.74 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked NC Dinos | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed NC Dinos | 50c | 35.18$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.59 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed KT Wiz | 51c | 34.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 950 | 41.5%394 W · 556 L | -48.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked NC Dinos | 45c | 34.55$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 295 | 47.1%139 W · 156 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked NC Dinos | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked NC Dinos | 61c | 25.82$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.