Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Team Shpilit (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Play-In Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe16f6a2cb9f91b2807ce68c31909dceef740c81c508af87959a889f8bf632b4e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Power Rangersof Power Rangers, Team Shpilit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,800
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,800 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Team Shpilit | 0c | 9,178$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.68 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Team Shpilit | 12c | 9,000$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.18 | 148 | 40.5%60 W · 88 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Team Shpilit | 26c | 1,335$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.07 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Power Rangers | 74c | 676.45$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.24 | 189 | 54%102 W · 87 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Team Shpilit | 9c | 489.11$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.76 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…f2f9backed Team Shpilit | 8c | 435$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7612…b680backed Power Rangers | 76c | 414.7$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.54 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 52cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe702…563fbacked Power Rangers | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Shpilit | 14c | 268.92$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.16 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Team Shpilit | 17c | 227.11$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.56 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Power Rangers | 78c | 222.7$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.49 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf13…ed3dbacked Power Rangers | 74c | 216.47$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.47 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07ac…e813backed Team Shpilit | 7c | 216$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Team Shpilit | 23c | 187.01$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.99 | 208 | 38.9%81 W · 127 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Team Shpilit | 26c | 155.16$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.44 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Team Shpilit | 11c | 152.16$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…5491backed Power Rangers | 77c | 151.95$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.95 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -35%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Team Shpilit | 7c | 150$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…dda0backed Team Shpilit | 14c | 138.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 292 | 45.9%134 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Shpilit | 13c | 135.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed Team Shpilit | 17c | 128.85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 340 | 45.9%156 W · 184 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Shpilit | 27c | 111$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Power Rangers | 75c | 102$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x338d…0fe5backed Team Shpilit | 19c | 88.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54b4…748abacked Team Shpilit | 15c | 74.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 130 | 26.2%34 W · 96 L | -15.9wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf219…47e9backed Power Rangers | 76c | 45$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Power Rangers | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 125 | 68%85 W · 40 L | +12.7wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbda…8bd5backed Power Rangers | 75c | 31.67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 132 | 59.8%79 W · 53 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Power Rangers | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedd1…45a9backed Power Rangers | 71c | 20.51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.03 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +108.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…b9c6backed Power Rangers | 73c | 15.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.24 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Team Shpilit (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Play-In Group Athis page
- Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Team Shpilit - Game 1 WinnerPower Rangers won
- Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Team Shpilit - Game 2 WinnerPower Rangers won
- Game Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs Team Shpilit (+1.5)Power Rangers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.