Tennis · resolved market
Midland: Katarina Jokic vs Elizabeth Jones
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe17cdfff7a7968c000c9bac205bd41a2547f3df15230017e94ec41de87b5fa78
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jokicof Jokic, Jones
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,241
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,646
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,241 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Jones | 52c | 4,248$2,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,224.48 | 556 | 46.4%258 W · 298 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Jokic | 71c | 1,763$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.25 | 255 | 42%107 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Jokic | 49c | 1,262$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.12 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Jokic | 70c | 922.24$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.14 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Jokic | 52c | 866.15$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.93 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Jokic | 66c | 500$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.57 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Jones | 34c | 269.84$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.89 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Jones | 53c | 249$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.59 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Jokic | 68c | 202.21$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.15 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Jones | 54c | 198$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.77 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Jokic | 53c | 197.77$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.77 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed Jokic | 68c | 191.85$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.35 | 182 | 58.8%107 W · 75 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Jones | 56c | 177$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed Jones | 66c | 135.21$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 825 | 60.5%499 W · 326 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Jones | 34c | 134.19$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.37 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…d11fbacked Jokic | 74c | 126.08$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.55 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…a506backed Jokic | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Jones | 26c | 77.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3be…4cd6backed Jones | 68c | 58.76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Jones | 36c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.