Tennis · resolved market
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jaume Munar vs Marton Fucsovics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1bfaa9f5d1be2b81dd3cd8f87ee5156df4dc5760a4fba59d168599b8595598c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Munarof Munar, Fucsovics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,679
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,197
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,679 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed Munar | 50c | 4,537$2,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,265.65 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Fucsovics | 40c | 2,900$1,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.05 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Munar | 46c | 2,297$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240.38 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Fucsovics | 61c | 1,680$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.04 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…ce48backed Fucsovics | 54c | 1,297$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.28 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Fucsovics | 56c | 1,250$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 364 | 40.9%149 W · 215 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Fucsovics | 56c | 1,065$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.49 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Munar | 44c | 1,040$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.15 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Munar | 40c | 1,029$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.08 | 170 | 46.5%79 W · 91 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Munar | 28c | 575.55$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.82 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Munar | 77c | 466.96$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.71 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Munar | 43c | 400$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Munar | 45c | 399.99$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Fucsovics | 55c | 363.63$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Munar | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Fucsovics | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 204 | 31.9%65 W · 139 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Fucsovics | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Fucsovics | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe49c…773ebacked Munar | 46c | 160.75$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.41 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Fucsovics | 59c | 142$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.63 | 439 | 48.5%213 W · 226 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Fucsovics | 51c | 102.04$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.04 | 281 | 41.6%117 W · 164 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Munar | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Munar | 32c | 78.8$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.94 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c96…f165backed Munar | 46c | 78.26$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.26 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb7…04d8backed Munar | 47c | 57.45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 141 | 40.4%57 W · 84 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed Fucsovics | 55c | 52.83$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.06 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Fucsovics | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7312…d40dbacked Fucsovics | 47c | 39.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -6.9wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x868b…1eb0backed Fucsovics | 77c | 38.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | -11.1wins | -0.27per pick | 49cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Fucsovics | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Fucsovics | 56c | 31.84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2adc…8f9abacked Fucsovics | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 71cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.