Premier League · resolved market
Manchester City FC leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe24ed930a9ca39da32dfe91a9e7ea95867868a22418e4f11f8c5cb59c8a5ef42
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,032
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,865
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,032 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 37c | 15,550$5,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,731.1 | 154 | 70.8%109 W · 45 L | +22.5wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xba8c…e77dbacked No | 33c | 7,105$2,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,770.84 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.23per pick | 31cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f1…7da3backed No | 52c | 2,410$1,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,157.51 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -75%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…5018backed Yes | 61c | 968.88$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.84 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 47c | 771.75$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.03 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed No | 40c | 709.16$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.4 | 220 | 40.5%89 W · 131 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 62c | 420.46$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.58 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Yes | 41c | 418.39$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.12 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 39c | 320$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.2 | 1,240 | 42.2%523 W · 717 L | -29.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 39c | 316.41$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.01 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 117 | 27.4%32 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 40c | 279.68$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.96 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e07…80d1backed Yes | 58c | 253.12$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.2 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…5e12backed No | 59c | 251.33$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.79 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +6.6wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x36b4…d723backed Yes | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -7.2wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Yes | 61c | 160.1$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.66 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd876…4c8bbacked Yes | 49c | 111$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.39 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfde…8ad8backed No | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +58%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95cd…ef5ebacked Yes | 56c | 64.26$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.98 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.20per pick | 48cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed No | 54c | 53.71$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.53 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72f7…6d94backed Yes | 38c | 53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Yes | 60c | 51.31$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.78 | 177 | 55.9%99 W · 78 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked No | 44c | 32.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -6.2wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed No | 50c | 21.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | +21.4wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…5ee3backed Yes | 55c | 19.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.