Tennis · resolved market
WTA Finals, Serena Williams Group: Amanda Anisimova vs Elena Rybakina
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2549dd0cad836b2d27ac03ba90b16fdec32afcdd0d85b7c81ec5acfd0d04ede
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rybakinaof Anisimova, Rybakina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,888
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,809
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,888 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Anisimova | 47c | 14,235$6,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,750.86 | 270 | 63.7%172 W · 98 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Anisimova | 0c | 11,146$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.11 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Rybakina | 52c | 10,038$5,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,818 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0b…9e5cbacked Anisimova | 47c | 3,834$1,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,801.96 | 139 | 34.5%48 W · 91 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Rybakina | 53c | 3,774$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.58 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…a1b6backed Rybakina | 55c | 3,461$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.47 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Rybakina | 51c | 2,756$1,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350.24 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Rybakina | 53c | 2,458$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,157.55 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Anisimova | 49c | 2,027$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.24 | 1,444 | 48.8%705 W · 739 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Anisimova | 45c | 1,316$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.02 | 441 | 25.4%112 W · 329 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Rybakina | 70c | 1,139$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.28 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Anisimova | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Rybakina | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 220 | 37.7%83 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…e957backed Rybakina | 54c | 917.89$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.89 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Anisimova | 46c | 619.13$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.8 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Anisimova | 47c | 616.92$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.95 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Anisimova | 49c | 504.08$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe827…f98fbacked Anisimova | 35c | 343.85$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Anisimova | 4c | 313$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Anisimova | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…6f8cbacked Anisimova | 49c | 183.67$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Anisimova | 27c | 166.1$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.1 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96a4…12e2backed Anisimova | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Anisimova | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 511 | 42.9%219 W · 292 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed51…eb3bbacked Anisimova | 50c | 135.78$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.89 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Anisimova | 34c | 135.29$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48d…5182backed Rybakina | 80c | 105$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 245 | 58.8%144 W · 101 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…d4d8backed Anisimova | 29c | 102.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf5…e611backed Anisimova | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4731…cba8backed Anisimova | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Rybakina | 53c | 69.81$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.81 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Anisimova | 36c | 57.63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 704 | 65.2%459 W · 245 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf84…a7b5backed Rybakina | 75c | 52$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Rybakina | 52c | 37.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eda…d453backed Anisimova | 48c | 37.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.22per pick | 40cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x875c…d3e8backed Rybakina | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dae…a50bbacked Anisimova | 50c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x881a…8d6dbacked Anisimova | 39c | 25.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Anisimova | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 499 | 55.1%275 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.