CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: BCA (-1.5) vs The Last Resort (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe287318f646c842c4405f3cda3f159d60943d52e017ce17f8d1f7ee38ecc864d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- The Last Resortof Betclic Apogee Esports, The Last Resort
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,100
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,034
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,100 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0478…37c3backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 49c | 1,730$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.5 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked The Last Resort | 37c | 460.26$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.86 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked The Last Resort | 52c | 445.5$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.29 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…dd57backed The Last Resort | 51c | 401.93$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.1 | 123 | 40.7%50 W · 73 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0f59backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 62c | 399.96$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.97 | 218 | 45.9%100 W · 118 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…fb36backed The Last Resort | 51c | 367.65$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed The Last Resort | 51c | 356$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.5 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f9…cfd8backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 57c | 243.65$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.21 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…0717backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 61c | 214$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.54 | 295 | 43.1%127 W · 168 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked The Last Resort | 38c | 193.78$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.58 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed The Last Resort | 50c | 178.6$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.3 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked The Last Resort | 42c | 104.15$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.7 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…50d4backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked The Last Resort | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed The Last Resort | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x824a…3952backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 68c | 92.82$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.5 | 141 | 39.7%56 W · 85 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce8…2686backed The Last Resort | 51c | 59.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 239 | 63.2%151 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 50c | 44.1$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 445 | 63.8%284 W · 161 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed The Last Resort | 36c | 39.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.83 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ca…e92bbacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 53c | 37.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 146 | 58.2%85 W · 61 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed The Last Resort | 49c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.77 | 170 | 52.4%89 W · 81 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: BCA (-1.5) vs The Last Resort (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs The Last Resort (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Group BBetclic Apogee Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs The Last Resort - Map 1 WinnerThe Last Resort won
- Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs The Last Resort - Map 2 WinnerBetclic Apogee Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.