La Liga · resolved market
RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. Real Zaragoza: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2a48304476c7363b4b90d4eb00f38a4623b8c3052bf7ffb0b0ab73f417fa542
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,632
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,632 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 35c | 368.73$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.56 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…99a7backed Over | 10c | 300.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 55 | 21.8%12 W · 43 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 62c | 237.04$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.19 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…d5e6backed Over | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 62c | 186$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.21 | 335 | 44.2%148 W · 187 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 26c | 123.03$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 79c | 120.58$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.92 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf715…bbf0backed Over | 22c | 112$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +27%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x862a…d26bbacked Under | 79c | 94.9$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.93 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Over | 39c | 81.3$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.3 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +8.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 40c | 69.18$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 444 | 24.1%107 W · 337 L | -50.1wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 38c | 59.18$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.21 | 175 | 62.9%110 W · 65 L | +32.1wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Over | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 97 | 22.7%22 W · 75 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50e0…776ebacked Over | 34c | 52.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -55%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9f…77aebacked Under | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Under | 46c | 22.72$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -6.1wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. Real Zaragoza: O/U 3.5this page
- RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. Real Zaragoza: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. Real Zaragoza: O/U 1.5Over won
- RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. Real Zaragoza: O/U 2.5Over won
- RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. Real Zaragoza: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: RC Deportivo La Coruña (-1.5)Real Zaragoza won
- Spread: Real Zaragoza (-1.5)RC Deportivo La Coruña won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.