Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Ouden vs Fucsovics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2bdf2ddf9f026b6e01a5c36d05b0bc45cd92268244c035c01d3f5052dcc21c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oudenof Ouden, Fucsovics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,236
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,045
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,236 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Fucsovics | 2c | 2,801$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.02 | 75 | 5.3%4 W · 71 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78e0…375bbacked Ouden | 36c | 1,008$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.67 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Fucsovics | 59c | 826.99$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.96 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Fucsovics | 4c | 749.97$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.69 | 272 | 31.3%85 W · 187 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Fucsovics | 78c | 226.54$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.32 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Ouden | 27c | 196.18$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.25 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Fucsovics | 74c | 135.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.75 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3da…c91fbacked Fucsovics | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa862…cd5abacked Fucsovics | 68c | 119.65$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f97…a9b3backed Ouden | 29c | 87.01$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.01 | 262 | 27.9%73 W · 189 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed Fucsovics | 76c | 68.38$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.78 | 825 | 60.5%499 W · 326 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf291…ba23backed Ouden | 65c | 62.35$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.82 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed Fucsovics | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 542 | 49.3%267 W · 275 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x087f…2ebfbacked Fucsovics | 26c | 46.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…8ba0backed Fucsovics | 42c | 35.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 328 | 37.5%123 W · 205 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x959a…2325backed Fucsovics | 70c | 34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf628…ba6fbacked Fucsovics | 62c | 30.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Fucsovics | 72c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 619 | 53.3%330 W · 289 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb970…2ed0backed Fucsovics | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Fucsovics | 75c | 28.63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe1…14e5backed Fucsovics | 70c | 26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0142…822ebacked Fucsovics | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad0f…0e3cbacked Fucsovics | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b2…9c54backed Fucsovics | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6afa…cc0dbacked Fucsovics | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x226a…6e99backed Fucsovics | 70c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a9…c2f9backed Fucsovics | 71c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b05…104bbacked Fucsovics | 71c | 18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1472…8635backed Fucsovics | 71c | 18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15a7…57c6backed Fucsovics | 70c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985b…6b7fbacked Fucsovics | 71c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca6…f860backed Fucsovics | 70c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 59cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x25ad…85bbbacked Fucsovics | 70c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Ouden vs Fucsovicsthis page
- Ouden vs. Fucsovics: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Ouden vs. Fucsovics: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Over won
- Ouden vs. Fucsovics: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Over won
- Rotterdam Open: Guy Den Ouden vs Marton FucsovicsOuden won
- Set Handicap: Fucsovics (-1.5) vs Ouden (+1.5)Ouden won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.