Asian League · resolved market
Will Shandong Taishan FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe38871af3ec2866c51832f619bb30649fe2df79e70ff8682f240c71bfd7f67b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,376
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,973
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,376 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 4c | 13,273$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 17c | 1,500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 243 | 23%56 W · 187 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 6c | 1,118$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.26 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 13c | 1,025$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.2 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6580…6fa8backed Yes | 23c | 650$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.5 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 77c | 543.94$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.11 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 78c | 373$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.06 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 17c | 299$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.83 | 126 | 34.1%43 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec2…26d7backed Yes | 22c | 275.92$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.7 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -5.3wins | -0.33per pick | 45cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 78c | 150.41$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.83 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fab…9db1backed Yes | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | +7.1wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 77c | 120$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 79c | 72.47$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.22 | 126 | 60.3%76 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 78c | 64.23$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.13 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 77c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 77c | 36.2$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 78c | 34.25$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 225 | 44%99 W · 126 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 76c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed No | 78c | 15.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Shandong Taishan FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC win on 2026-05-16?No won
- Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-05-16?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.