Asian League · resolved market
Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-05-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e5197ddb56bdba817d56f7b2cb9ce34d5dd374fa1e8fe248eed8d9df8939258
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,534
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,585
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,534 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x75bd…0288backed No | 5c | 4,926$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.49 | 189 | 52.9%100 W · 89 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 7c | 2,908$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.33 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Yes | 63c | 2,849$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.81 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 11c | 2,334$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.6 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 37c | 1,313$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.69 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 3c | 1,125$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 64c | 1,085$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.66 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 14c | 1,075$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.69 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 36c | 593.49$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.29 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 36c | 591.97$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.11 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 37c | 554$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.71 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde7d…499ebacked No | 28c | 536$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.56 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4db3…c1eabacked No | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 80 | 63.8%51 W · 29 L | +9.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 245 | 48.6%119 W · 126 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 37c | 385.59$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.29 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 37c | 330.02$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.11 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…1761backed Yes | 62c | 321.95$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.95 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb7…3644backed Yes | 65c | 307.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.51 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…dd8fbacked No | 38c | 298.4$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.16 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 37c | 250.62$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.66 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 34c | 204.97$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.69 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Yes | 66c | 200.91$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.31 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed No | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…b99bbacked Yes | 62c | 195$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.1 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 75c | 188$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 276 | 39.1%108 W · 168 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 36c | 184.81$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.53 | 211 | 52.1%110 W · 101 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa150…44ebbacked No | 7c | 174.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -44%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 334 | 52.7%176 W · 158 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…6b59backed Yes | 65c | 150$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 37c | 127$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.99 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes | 64c | 110.22$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.76 | 170 | 58.2%99 W · 71 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 37c | 101.62$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.36 | 225 | 44%99 W · 126 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2904…eb3ebacked Yes | 43c | 101.03$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…ce5cbacked Yes | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 237 | 55.3%131 W · 106 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked No | 36c | 99.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 34c | 99.78$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.93 | 126 | 60.3%76 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfddc…931abacked Yes | 58c | 83.33$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x352a…ff24backed Yes | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 65c | 71$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.85 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 77c | 63.13$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Yes | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0326…61cdbacked Yes | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 38c | 46.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Yes | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 192 | 68.2%131 W · 61 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa1…f0b2backed No | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed No | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f4d…2651backed No | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 75c | 36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed No | 33c | 33.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 63c | 33.46$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 38c | 26.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 165 | 61.2%101 W · 64 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 62c | 23.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Yes | 66c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f42…82bcbacked Yes | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc986…1654backed Yes | 76c | 19.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.73 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b47…2d4bbacked Yes | 73c | 17.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.81 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Yes | 63c | 16.54$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 208 | 60.1%125 W · 83 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x722a…d6edbacked Yes | 73c | 15.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.21 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-05-16?this page
- Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC win on 2026-05-16?No won
- Will Shandong Taishan FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.