Mls · resolved market
Inter Miami CF vs. New York City FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3a55fac0aa370524ca08ef003b0a35840eab1cc8d2cab832060998d4896c3c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,432
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,289
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,432 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ea0…8d74backed Under | 57c | 6,671$3,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,816.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb6…15cdbacked Over | 47c | 3,413$1,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,809.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +128.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 53c | 1,101$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.65 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76a2…1f3cbacked Over | 45c | 986.31$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.47 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +82.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 44c | 400$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.23per pick | 41cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under | 53c | 248$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.44 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 54c | 192.65$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.22 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf676…b039backed Over | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 46c | 65.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.39 | 84 | 65.5%55 W · 29 L | +16.4wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Over | 76c | 55$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -47%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 40c | 33.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 44c | 23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 165 | 31.5%52 W · 113 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05a1…4e44backed Over | 79c | 21.31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c6…7a9dbacked Over | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Inter Miami CF vs. New York City FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Inter Miami CF vs. New York City FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Inter Miami CF vs. New York City FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. New York City FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5)Inter Miami CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.