Mls · resolved market
Spread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7dbeb68ce21630c6a919a8e93e3da733c9014071dc17920684c7d18c7076940
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Inter Miami CFof Inter Miami CF, New York City FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,763
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,667
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,763 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7bf4…8860backed Inter Miami CF | 43c | 10,498$4,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,989 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 40cpaid | +82.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed New York City FC | 57c | 6,323$3,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,611.2 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed New York City FC | 58c | 3,502$2,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,025.12 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked New York City FC | 56c | 1,982$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.92 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d94…40e6backed Inter Miami CF | 40c | 1,240$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed New York City FC | 58c | 497.28$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.42 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Inter Miami CF | 52c | 307.69$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.69 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Inter Miami CF | 42c | 202.38$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.38 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +110.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked New York City FC | 61c | 150$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -47%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Inter Miami CF | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 153 | 41.2%63 W · 90 L | -14.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed New York City FC | 16c | 75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…598dbacked Inter Miami CF | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x158e…e43cbacked Inter Miami CF | 42c | 45.24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x823c…0425backed Inter Miami CF | 43c | 32.74$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.66 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Inter Miami CF | 36c | 29.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed New York City FC | 60c | 26.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.6wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed New York City FC | 59c | 20.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5)this page
- Inter Miami CF vs. New York City FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Inter Miami CF vs. New York City FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. New York City FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. New York City FC: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.