Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Misa Esports vs Eintracht Frankfurt (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3b33f198b53cd0056a0a7348129ea6455f9e0977680fbaa681f2af0844c93bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Misa Esportsof Misa Esports, Eintracht Frankfurt
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,373
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,373 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Misa Esports | 79c | 1,513$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.74 | 337 | 59.6%201 W · 136 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 20c | 786.74$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.98 | 215 | 58.1%125 W · 90 L | +15.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked Misa Esports | 70c | 726.32$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.07 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Misa Esports | 64c | 654.79$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.02 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Misa Esports | 56c | 571.5$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.23 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 44c | 500$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 33c | 475.74$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.15 | 112 | 58%65 W · 47 L | +12.8wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…7ed7backed Misa Esports | 57c | 436.16$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.16 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3f…6941backed Misa Esports | 58c | 335$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.7 | 260 | 51.9%135 W · 125 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 26c | 312.01$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.12 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 34c | 295.7$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.6 | 242 | 50.4%122 W · 120 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Eintracht Frankfurt | 42c | 250$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 40c | 125.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.03 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Misa Esports | 60c | 122$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.21 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Eintracht Frankfurt | 46c | 120$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.72 | 601 | 54.2%326 W · 275 L | +24.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Eintracht Frankfurt | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Misa Esports | 54c | 90$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Misa Esports | 73c | 89.54$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 109 | 59.6%65 W · 44 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked Misa Esports | 57c | 83.89$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.28 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Eintracht Frankfurt | 41c | 82$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.21 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad06…b132backed Misa Esports | 76c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 44c | 75.92$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.39 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Eintracht Frankfurt | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77eb…7f9bbacked Eintracht Frankfurt | 45c | 44.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…db89backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6427…67c8backed Misa Esports | 64c | 30.36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Misa Esports | 72c | 29.14$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Misa Esports | 72c | 27.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf58…711fbacked Eintracht Frankfurt | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Misa Esports | 76c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 267 | 30.7%82 W · 185 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Misa Esports | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 158 | 39.2%62 W · 96 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Misa Esports | 62c | 19.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Misa Esports vs Eintracht Frankfurt (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Group Athis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valorant: Misa Esports vs Eintracht Frankfurt - Map 1 WinnerMisa Esports won
- Valorant: Misa Esports vs Eintracht Frankfurt - Map 2 WinnerMisa Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.