CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs B8 (BO1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3f109e23ce337547f482d3e74f88cd3d0e078b8c3f065822603024e6baeb8e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heroicof Heroic, B8
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,067
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,428
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,067 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked B8 | 47c | 3,278$1,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,542 | 244 | 40.6%99 W · 145 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d9…4d8bbacked Heroic | 51c | 2,485$1,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.33 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Heroic | 50c | 1,926$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.77 | 1,619 | 45.5%737 W · 882 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Heroic | 45c | 1,709$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.75 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked B8 | 51c | 1,536$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.15 | 220 | 56.4%124 W · 96 L | +19.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Heroic | 51c | 1,239$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.62 | 470 | 55.7%262 W · 208 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked B8 | 49c | 811.24$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.63 | 298 | 55%164 W · 134 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8465…6bbdbacked B8 | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9f…45debacked B8 | 56c | 499.91$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.99 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed B8 | 65c | 475.46$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.05 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6937…085dbacked B8 | 49c | 452.8$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.87 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fce…28f8backed Heroic | 51c | 427.8$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.62 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc72c…341fbacked B8 | 76c | 397.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 72cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Heroic | 48c | 394.57$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.28 | 208 | 55.3%115 W · 93 L | +18.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…2145backed B8 | 60c | 370.4$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.24 | 157 | 49%77 W · 80 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf66a…9157backed B8 | 75c | 358.67$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269 | 102 | 38.2%39 W · 63 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed B8 | 50c | 350$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x215d…ba6dbacked B8 | 52c | 230.77$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Heroic | 78c | 226.42$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.81 | 353 | 41.6%147 W · 206 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked B8 | 51c | 190$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.9 | 264 | 38.6%102 W · 162 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44bc…c53ebacked Heroic | 31c | 190$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.81 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked B8 | 48c | 157.46$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.58 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dae…a50bbacked B8 | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 142 | 33.8%48 W · 94 L | -18.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed B8 | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf2…423abacked B8 | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…2612backed B8 | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 110 | 30.9%34 W · 76 L | -11.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed B8 | 53c | 62.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.36 | 692 | 53.6%371 W · 321 L | -23.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Heroic | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 225 | 56%126 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed B8 | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Heroic | 51c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.98 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…8b3abacked B8 | 51c | 43.57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 200 | 52.5%105 W · 95 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…044bbacked Heroic | 51c | 40.47$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.83 | 154 | 41.6%64 W · 90 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…e0d7backed Heroic | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 211 | 41.7%88 W · 123 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34c…93cebacked Heroic | 54c | 36.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked Heroic | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 660 | 34.1%225 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.