Premier League · resolved market
Ipswich Town FC vs. Oxford United FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3fca2a5e51c415eb0bb76fff46e803fc8698fa88e0cfa8d60d7dbcf96541fb8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,093
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,236
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,093 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 9,938$4,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,570.7 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 54c | 8,001$4,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,680.43 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 54c | 8,000$4,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,680 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 47c | 5,543$2,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,585.88 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3158…d469backed Over | 54c | 4,800$2,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,208 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 46c | 3,500$1,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,610 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Under | 57c | 1,665$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.88 | 97 | 63.9%62 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Under | 48c | 1,608$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772 | 80 | 65%52 W · 28 L | +10.3wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…afefbacked Over | 55c | 910.18$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.18 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0f…69b2backed Over | 55c | 504$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +48%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 43c | 412.04$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.77 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d71…4c90backed Over | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.78 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 45c | 170$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0082…e801backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x659e…d0b0backed Over | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 206 | 44.7%92 W · 114 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 54c | 90.01$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1df…4404backed Over | 44c | 65$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.7 | 73 | 17.8%13 W · 60 L | -8.5wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Over | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +13.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked Under | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 70 | 82.9%58 W · 12 L | +14.5wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 46c | 53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.59 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc840…0650backed Over | 54c | 50.04$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.02 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Over | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 105 | 69.5%73 W · 32 L | +10.3wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 126 | 47.6%60 W · 66 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72e4…0369backed Under | 47c | 39.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…b71fbacked Over | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 170 | 17.6%30 W · 140 L | -27.5wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x28bb…d0d6backed Under | 46c | 24.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Under | 46c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 164 | 45.7%75 W · 89 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 178 | 49.4%88 W · 90 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ipswich Town FC vs. Oxford United FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Ipswich Town FC vs. Oxford United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Ipswich Town FC vs. Oxford United FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Ipswich Town FC vs. Oxford United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Ipswich Town FC (-1.5)Oxford United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.