Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Ipswich Town FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d248eaa0b35024d8c95e0bb39c203e7de08615bea032e57786debf48ae15bc3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oxford United FCof Ipswich Town FC, Oxford United FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,538
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,430
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,538 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Oxford United FC | 56c | 17,370$9,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,641.77 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Ipswich Town FC | 45c | 7,800$3,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,510 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Ipswich Town FC | 61c | 3,601$2,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,196.25 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Ipswich Town FC | 45c | 2,800$1,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,272.65 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Oxford United FC | 49c | 1,441$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.27 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Ipswich Town FC | 45c | 1,428$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.76 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x478f…f5d9backed Ipswich Town FC | 34c | 735.29$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1df…4404backed Ipswich Town FC | 61c | 544.53$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.91 | 73 | 17.8%13 W · 60 L | -8.5wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b6…6232backed Ipswich Town FC | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a0…2396backed Ipswich Town FC | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26e7…cc6cbacked Ipswich Town FC | 43c | 433.11$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.24 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1a…d9abbacked Ipswich Town FC | 47c | 340.43$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9acb…d2c7backed Ipswich Town FC | 46c | 269.57$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72e4…0369backed Ipswich Town FC | 43c | 65.11$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Oxford United FC | 51c | 54$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.46 | 219 | 65.3%143 W · 76 L | +20.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Ipswich Town FC | 65c | 53.33$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.44 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…b71fbacked Ipswich Town FC | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 170 | 17.6%30 W · 140 L | -27.5wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Ipswich Town FC | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Oxford United FC | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Oxford United FC | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd743…59bdbacked Ipswich Town FC | 47c | 25.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Ipswich Town FC (-1.5)this page
- Ipswich Town FC vs. Oxford United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Ipswich Town FC vs. Oxford United FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Ipswich Town FC vs. Oxford United FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Ipswich Town FC vs. Oxford United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.