CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Favbet vs ESC Gaming - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe496a8b0e9c8bd9ce733202d9113986197f4bf71592ba3d02811959f5a8d0514
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ESC Gamingof Favbet, ESC Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,928
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,922
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,928 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde8f…2c72backed Favbet | 56c | 4,697$2,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,615.94 | 280 | 56.4%158 W · 122 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed ESC Gaming | 44c | 1,389$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.15 | 450 | 58.9%265 W · 185 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ESC Gaming | 44c | 1,256$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.01 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Favbet | 22c | 1,107$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.42 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f9…d587backed Favbet | 11c | 1,041$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.54 | 350 | 33.4%117 W · 233 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…d0a5backed Favbet | 31c | 886.81$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.03 | 135 | 46.7%63 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Favbet | 19c | 613.7$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.76 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa094…3f07backed ESC Gaming | 49c | 499.43$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.06 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Favbet | 20c | 471.43$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.74 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed ESC Gaming | 59c | 289.41$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.67 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed ESC Gaming | 56c | 129.48$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.61 | 447 | 48.1%215 W · 232 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…29bdbacked ESC Gaming | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +7.9wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked ESC Gaming | 46c | 98.86$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.39 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…3b7dbacked ESC Gaming | 68c | 88.27$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.25 | 318 | 52.8%168 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb583…939ebacked ESC Gaming | 68c | 70$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed Favbet | 37c | 69.7$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.79 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed ESC Gaming | 43c | 67.38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.41 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked ESC Gaming | 65c | 45.44$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.08 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…e722backed ESC Gaming | 43c | 39.26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed ESC Gaming | 51c | 36.01$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed ESC Gaming | 51c | 32.66$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 164 | 61.6%101 W · 63 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd705…fb7cbacked Favbet | 35c | 28.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 325 | 36%117 W · 208 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed ESC Gaming | 51c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 368 | 45.9%169 W · 199 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed ESC Gaming | 51c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked ESC Gaming | 60c | 19.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x839f…c2cebacked Favbet | 67c | 15.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 164 | 51.8%85 W · 79 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Favbet vs ESC Gaming - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Favbet vs ESC Gaming (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group StageESC Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: Favbet vs ESC Gaming - Map 2 WinnerFavbet won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.