Lol · resolved market
LoL: FN Esports vs BOMBA Team - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe4ad694567a3330a6aaa1bf83d67813e00592d37a4443b36f993376b17de7a53
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BOMBA Teamof FN Esports, BOMBA Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,145
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,145 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed FN Esports | 26c | 1,440$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.2 | 1,806 | 39.1%707 W · 1,099 L | -30.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked BOMBA Team | 63c | 1,100$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c67…9896backed FN Esports | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 506 | 46%233 W · 273 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked FN Esports | 26c | 500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed FN Esports | 20c | 499.98$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.66 | 301 | 39.5%119 W · 182 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed BOMBA Team | 65c | 466.46$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.66 | 697 | 56.5%394 W · 303 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aad…88d4backed BOMBA Team | 58c | 459$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.78 | 288 | 27.4%79 W · 209 L | -30.6wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed FN Esports | 40c | 337.47$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.34 | 392 | 46.4%182 W · 210 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed FN Esports | 41c | 250$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 664 | 45.6%303 W · 361 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed FN Esports | 35c | 232.6$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.75 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed FN Esports | 9c | 214$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed BOMBA Team | 79c | 198.16$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.61 | 180 | 41.7%75 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed BOMBA Team | 68c | 185.76$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.52 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked FN Esports | 22c | 183.78$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.82 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f05…85c5backed BOMBA Team | 63c | 158.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.6 | 398 | 61.8%246 W · 152 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked BOMBA Team | 62c | 102.8$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.06 | 1,003 | 42.5%426 W · 577 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked FN Esports | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 611 | 43.5%266 W · 345 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8f…6353backed FN Esports | 24c | 82.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed BOMBA Team | 67c | 72.03$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.77 | 1,079 | 26%281 W · 798 L | -99.0wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed FN Esports | 33c | 72.03$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.77 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3e…5d9dbacked FN Esports | 31c | 64.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 480 | 42.3%203 W · 277 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3a…aaa2backed FN Esports | 25c | 48.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf006…bf1ebacked FN Esports | 45c | 44.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 692 | 47%325 W · 367 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa649…af7dbacked BOMBA Team | 63c | 44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 81 | 61.7%50 W · 31 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed BOMBA Team | 69c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked FN Esports | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed FN Esports | 49c | 39.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 403 | 47.4%191 W · 212 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x128a…bd2abacked BOMBA Team | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea15…ba9ebacked BOMBA Team | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 201 | 40.8%82 W · 119 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…af90backed BOMBA Team | 63c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 140 | 67.9%95 W · 45 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c49…08ddbacked BOMBA Team | 77c | 13.03$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: FN Esports vs BOMBA Team - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: BOOM (-1.5) vs FN Esports (+1.5)BOMBA Team won
- LoL: FN Esports vs BOMBA Team (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group HBOMBA Team won
- LoL: FN Esports vs BOMBA Team - Game 2 WinnerBOMBA Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.