Tennis · resolved market
ITF Columbus: Christasha McNeil vs Haruka Kaji
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe4e8f08fa49dd85749b538008611b26be4839020965872b74be21acc5dfd487c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Haruka Kajiof Christasha McNeil, Haruka Kaji
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,095
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,369
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,095 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Christasha McNeil | 19c | 5,667$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.51 | 11,325 | 43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L | +18.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Haruka Kaji | 52c | 2,747$1,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,331.25 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Christasha McNeil | 48c | 2,455$1,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.5 | 7,745 | 50.6%3,916 W · 3,829 L | +93.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Christasha McNeil | 18c | 1,004$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.74 | 8,152 | 45.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L | +155.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Christasha McNeil | 18c | 933.32$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 5,199 | 28.8%1,496 W · 3,703 L | -18.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Christasha McNeil | 48c | 713$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.85 | 2,754 | 53.8%1,481 W · 1,273 L | +71.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…a593backed Haruka Kaji | 44c | 340.91$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.91 | 429 | 30.5%131 W · 298 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Christasha McNeil | 57c | 224.74$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.1 | 1,232 | 65.4%806 W · 426 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Haruka Kaji | 46c | 220.53$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.07 | 2,997 | 57.3%1,717 W · 1,280 L | +170.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Christasha McNeil | 19c | 161$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.31 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Christasha McNeil | 43c | 120$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf983…39a0backed Haruka Kaji | 41c | 115.39$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.33 | 101 | 35.6%36 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8c…01c9backed Christasha McNeil | 19c | 105.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a1…1c91backed Haruka Kaji | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 203 | 60.1%122 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x293c…dcbabacked Haruka Kaji | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 345 | 53.3%184 W · 161 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f4…335fbacked Haruka Kaji | 74c | 99.68$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.18 | 241 | 74.3%179 W · 62 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Christasha McNeil | 48c | 96.46$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.3 | 3,204 | 40.5%1,299 W · 1,905 L | +28.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Christasha McNeil | 18c | 85.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33d2…9ac2backed Christasha McNeil | 17c | 62.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 146 | 44.5%65 W · 81 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Christasha McNeil | 20c | 61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 8,396 | 42.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L | -162.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Haruka Kaji | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.52 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Haruka Kaji | 43c | 56.21$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 992 | 44.7%443 W · 549 L | -29.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bdc…e345backed Christasha McNeil | 26c | 55.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 166 | 42.8%71 W · 95 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Christasha McNeil | 48c | 52.92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Christasha McNeil | 32c | 46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 225 | 52%117 W · 108 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Haruka Kaji | 37c | 39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.49 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Christasha McNeil | 33c | 38.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14d5…8ba8backed Christasha McNeil | 65c | 35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Haruka Kaji | 46c | 33.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 1,459 | 50.1%731 W · 728 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x199b…b6d5backed Haruka Kaji | 37c | 30.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.51 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +78.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Christasha McNeil | 42c | 30.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Haruka Kaji | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Christasha McNeil | 63c | 25.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 214 | 47.2%101 W · 113 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…1b52backed Christasha McNeil | 68c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 619 | 24.4%151 W · 468 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Christasha McNeil | 54c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 635 | 46.1%293 W · 342 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce3…1a0dbacked Christasha McNeil | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 65 | 69.2%45 W · 20 L | +8.8wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcb37…189abacked Haruka Kaji | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 214 | 51.9%111 W · 103 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Haruka Kaji | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Haruka Kaji | 68c | 17.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.71 | 857 | 41.7%357 W · 500 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4462…bfdfbacked Haruka Kaji | 68c | 17.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.49 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -24.1wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Haruka Kaji | 69c | 14.98$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.66 | 332 | 56.6%188 W · 144 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.