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CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: INFURITY Gaming vs ex-Sangal ALTERS (BO3) - United21 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
INFURITY Gamingof INFURITY Gaming, ex-Sangal ALTERS
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$12,912
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$14,953

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,912 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc0e4…dd38backed INFURITY Gaming68c673.49$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.5251756.3%291 W · 226 L+20.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked ex-Sangal ALTERS20c379.16$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.555,18337.1%1,924 W · 3,259 L-274.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked ex-Sangal ALTERS14c322.95$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.54,87943.4%2,116 W · 2,763 L-93.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x270e…53cabacked ex-Sangal ALTERS27c255.87$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.729755.7%54 W · 43 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdd2…3daebacked INFURITY Gaming77c246.75$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.752100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked ex-Sangal ALTERS22c223.73$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8893645.3%424 W · 512 L+1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0063…2dd2backed ex-Sangal ALTERS17c215.3$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.1150564.8%327 W · 178 L+59.3wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa62b…58aabacked ex-Sangal ALTERS27c132.56$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0219346.6%90 W · 103 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xedd0…b03abacked ex-Sangal ALTERS17c129.35$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.591225%3 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-50.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9688…fd45backed ex-Sangal ALTERS25c116$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9351042.7%218 W · 292 L-17.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked INFURITY Gaming70c110.9$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.765,70747.2%2,694 W · 3,013 L+45.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x293c…dcbabacked INFURITY Gaming55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455657.1%32 W · 24 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked INFURITY Gaming68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321,49652.9%791 W · 705 L+30.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked ex-Sangal ALTERS15c92$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.494,02236.4%1,466 W · 2,556 L-208.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked INFURITY Gaming76c88.37$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.492,24147.6%1,067 W · 1,174 L-59.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4575…3a3fbacked INFURITY Gaming72c83$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.27248.6%35 W · 37 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed ex-Sangal ALTERS33c71$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.135,46631.5%1,722 W · 3,744 L-400.1wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9311…e731backed INFURITY Gaming72c70$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.67460.8%45 W · 29 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cf1…d7febacked ex-Sangal ALTERS20c62.47$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3426534%90 W · 175 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed ex-Sangal ALTERS33c44.65$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.954,16550.9%2,119 W · 2,046 L+70.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked ex-Sangal ALTERS30c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.12,50243%1,077 W · 1,425 L-73.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8811…627cbacked INFURITY Gaming72c40$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.444373.6%326 W · 117 L+43.8wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+11.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc62a…76b5backed ex-Sangal ALTERS41c39.45$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1618447.8%88 W · 96 L-8.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x920a…29e0backed INFURITY Gaming76c35.92$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.629050%45 W · 45 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f38…13c8backed INFURITY Gaming77c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.714849.3%73 W · 75 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-17.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd314…9fd3backed INFURITY Gaming69c18.97$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.97560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.