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CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: INFURITY Gaming vs ex-Sangal ALTERS - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
ex-Sangal ALTERSof INFURITY Gaming, ex-Sangal ALTERS
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$17,258
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$20,283

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,258 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6e2c…787cbacked INFURITY Gaming32c884.42$282 inLost-$281.5593645.3%424 W · 512 L+1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0ac…7deebacked INFURITY Gaming3c803.96$25 inLost-$2543352.9%229 W · 204 L+27.5wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4fb0…6197backed INFURITY Gaming41c689.71$282 inLost-$282.399757.7%56 W · 41 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xda29…f4b8backed ex-Sangal ALTERS77c250$193 inWon+$57.53941%16 W · 23 L-4.8wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-28.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked INFURITY Gaming20c239$48 inLost-$48.048,13350.3%4,091 W · 4,042 L+169.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4575…3a3fbacked INFURITY Gaming38c207.5$79 inLost-$79.437248.6%35 W · 37 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked INFURITY Gaming45c199.41$89 inLost-$88.835,18337.1%1,924 W · 3,259 L-274.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa62b…58aabacked ex-Sangal ALTERS41c128.17$52 inWon+$76.2219346.6%90 W · 103 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6609…4e73backed INFURITY Gaming75c117.11$88 inLost-$882646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked ex-Sangal ALTERS64c114.04$73 inWon+$41.114,87943.4%2,116 W · 2,763 L-93.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92f8…0e1fbacked INFURITY Gaming26c100$26 inLost-$2613844.9%62 W · 76 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9688…fd45backed INFURITY Gaming31c84$26 inLost-$26.0451042.7%218 W · 292 L-17.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xebf5…b1d0backed INFURITY Gaming40c82.8$33 inLost-$32.7356948.9%278 W · 291 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked ex-Sangal ALTERS60c78.01$47 inWon+$31.331,49652.9%791 W · 705 L+30.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0063…2dd2backed ex-Sangal ALTERS59c53.67$32 inWon+$21.7650564.8%327 W · 178 L+59.3wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked ex-Sangal ALTERS65c51$33 inWon+$17.732,29343.3%994 W · 1,299 L-70.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa72a…5685backed INFURITY Gaming76c50$38 inLost-$3832840.9%134 W · 194 L-17.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked ex-Sangal ALTERS44c46.68$21 inWon+$26.143,70629.5%1,093 W · 2,613 L-297.7wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-43.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8811…627cbacked ex-Sangal ALTERS79c45$36 inWon+$9.3544373.6%326 W · 117 L+43.8wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+11.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked INFURITY Gaming61c41.17$25 inLost-$25.115,70747.2%2,694 W · 3,013 L+45.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0e4…dd38backed ex-Sangal ALTERS52c40.69$21 inWon+$19.6651756.3%291 W · 226 L+20.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked ex-Sangal ALTERS62c40$25 inWon+$15.43,37545.7%1,542 W · 1,833 L-84.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc222…f6ccbacked INFURITY Gaming52c40$21 inLost-$20.84738.3%18 W · 29 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked ex-Sangal ALTERS57c30$17 inWon+$12.91,98442.2%838 W · 1,146 L-74.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed INFURITY Gaming40c26.18$10 inLost-$10.472,44545.4%1,109 W · 1,336 L-66.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed ex-Sangal ALTERS56c20$11 inWon+$8.82,60841.2%1,075 W · 1,533 L-123.1wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x62c1…50d8backed INFURITY Gaming75c18.67$14 inLost-$14520%1 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.39per pick59cpaid-73.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6428…c83abacked ex-Sangal ALTERS77c15$12 inWon+$3.454488.6%39 W · 5 L+8.3wins+0.19per pick70cpaid+27.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.