South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Lanús win on 2026-04-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe53701cf04e7f2d14f7550579691043489b0a250f58fbed09e6e164d954cc59a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,855
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,873
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,855 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 34c | 12,118$4,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,122.66 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 69c | 6,514$4,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,026.34 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 71c | 1,568$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 335 | 60.9%204 W · 131 L | +18.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Yes | 27c | 1,030$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.1 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 76c | 845.35$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.69 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed No | 58c | 840.71$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.19 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 66c | 744.35$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.49 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 40c | 719.67$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.26 | 402 | 42%169 W · 233 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 76c | 718.15$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.8 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 21c | 666.82$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.03 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed No | 64c | 652.15$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.91 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -7.0wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…5854backed Yes | 46c | 478.01$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 66c | 403.71$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.29 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 61c | 289.45$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.7 | 281 | 58.7%165 W · 116 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba8…cdb3backed Yes | 44c | 262.08$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.32 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 78c | 255.12$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.81 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed No | 64c | 241.38$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 52c | 237.49$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.88 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…8f42backed No | 56c | 215.11$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.65 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 59c | 195.3$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.59 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed No | 53c | 188.12$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.67 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 45c | 181.82$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.82 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked No | 59c | 164.4$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.84 | 178 | 57.3%102 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked No | 60c | 162.67$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.07 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 55c | 159.75$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.82 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 58c | 154.7$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.02 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed No | 69c | 149.31$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.61 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 54c | 147.24$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.23 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd810…2eb8backed No | 55c | 134$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.3 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 35c | 125.09$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.39 | 80 | 26.3%21 W · 59 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked No | 71c | 122.3$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.03 | 192 | 64.1%123 W · 69 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 70c | 118.91$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.23 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 46c | 112$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.52 | 213 | 49.8%106 W · 107 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa823…3327backed Yes | 47c | 110.95$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.15 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 57c | 109.91$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.94 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed No | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…68ecbacked Yes | 51c | 95.76$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d29…c9eebacked No | 61c | 93.3$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.64 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 22c | 85.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8900…a444backed No | 68c | 83.57$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.72 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Yes | 47c | 82.4$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.73 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b14…5301backed Yes | 35c | 80.27$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked No | 64c | 78.72$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.22 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed No | 65c | 72.58$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.42 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…6ababacked No | 64c | 72.47$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.75 | 62 | 74.2%46 W · 16 L | +8.7wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes | 44c | 68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bc…2aafbacked Yes | 47c | 66.95$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.51 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 48c | 65.38$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.38 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Yes | 45c | 64.79$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Yes | 45c | 64.79$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Yes | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -9.0wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 47c | 51.37$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 184 | 33.2%61 W · 123 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 74c | 45.43$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cc…1958backed No | 65c | 45.18$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked No | 60c | 40.67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.27 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9c…1700backed No | 65c | 37.65$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 53c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked No | 63c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c3…7336backed Yes | 42c | 29.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbe…9013backed Yes | 48c | 29.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 56c | 29.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4780…0c3fbacked Yes | 50c | 29.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed No | 70c | 28.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd13…ed6fbacked Yes | 47c | 26.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97f7…ada9backed No | 59c | 24.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.17 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 64c | 24.65$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6466…600bbacked Yes | 48c | 24.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf3…80abbacked Yes | 47c | 24.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…288ebacked No | 62c | 23.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.89 | 21 | 85.7%18 W · 3 L | +5.1wins | +0.25per pick | 61cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…a9abbacked Yes | 47c | 21.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed No | 55c | 21.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11a2…0532backed No | 53c | 18.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…08d5backed No | 64c | 17.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Lanús win on 2026-04-01?this page
- Will CA Lanús vs. CA Platense end in a draw?Yes won
- Will CA Platense win on 2026-04-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.