Tennis · resolved market
Bunschoten: Matteo Martineau vs Gerard Campana Lee
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5617e68f5f6abf542719a1843b1c9e7e6254009863d6881a24337b03fdea2be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gerard Campana Leeof Matteo Martineau, Gerard Campana Lee
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,459
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,758
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,459 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcc25…2d39backed Matteo Martineau | 7c | 6,578$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.43 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d6…9357backed Gerard Campana Lee | 79c | 4,005$3,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.04 | 59 | 71.2%42 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Matteo Martineau | 23c | 943.99$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.15 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc70f…ed45backed Matteo Martineau | 2c | 839.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Matteo Martineau | 16c | 442.43$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.56 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c3…f740backed Matteo Martineau | 12c | 405.88$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.17 | 206 | 24.8%51 W · 155 L | -20.0wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Matteo Martineau | 6c | 249.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 694 | 29.8%207 W · 487 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Matteo Martineau | 6c | 235.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Gerard Campana Lee | 52c | 204.17$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 3,319 | 48.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L | -52.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x472b…5d5fbacked Matteo Martineau | 48c | 204.17$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed Matteo Martineau | 53c | 130.19$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 836 | 61%510 W · 326 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Matteo Martineau | 18c | 120$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Gerard Campana Lee | 47c | 119.21$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.64 | 7,183 | 49.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L | +112.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Gerard Campana Lee | 68c | 112$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.14 | 4,760 | 49.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L | +176.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Matteo Martineau | 9c | 110.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Gerard Campana Lee | 48c | 104.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.13 | 3,987 | 45.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Gerard Campana Lee | 79c | 66.18$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.13 | 3,155 | 57.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L | +176.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Matteo Martineau | 33c | 62.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8920…9c0cbacked Matteo Martineau | 49c | 56$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Gerard Campana Lee | 54c | 49.51$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.94 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf753…bcfebacked Gerard Campana Lee | 50c | 43.66$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 537 | 36.9%198 W · 339 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Gerard Campana Lee | 50c | 34.64$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.32 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Gerard Campana Lee | 52c | 31.96$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.46 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Gerard Campana Lee | 51c | 26.74$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 3,798 | 54.9%2,087 W · 1,711 L | +111.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Matteo Martineau | 49c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 1,882 | 57.4%1,081 W · 801 L | +104.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Gerard Campana Lee | 53c | 21.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.