CS2 · resolved market
BLAST.tv Austin Major stage 2: 3DMAX vs. Legacy
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe56ae00848d6e81092fb264a1e42e5ebafeb5c076cf4c523c63de58e38189aee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Legacyof 3DMAX, Legacy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,319
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,427
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,319 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked 3DMAX | 64c | 1,554$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Legacy | 38c | 1,196$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.08 | 282 | 48.9%138 W · 144 L | +21.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Legacy | 39c | 852$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.84 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed51…eb3bbacked 3DMAX | 39c | 371.06$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.06 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -4.7wins | -0.31per pick | 44cpaid | -77%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb678…5a9dbacked 3DMAX | 64c | 306.94$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.44 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Legacy | 36c | 306.94$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.44 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Legacy | 54c | 300$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139 | 249 | 43.8%109 W · 140 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed 3DMAX | 52c | 258.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.68 | 633 | 45.2%286 W · 347 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…bd6abacked 3DMAX | 50c | 200.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8334…4e9fbacked 3DMAX | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 38 | 13.2%5 W · 33 L | -5.7wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…ffb8backed Legacy | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed 3DMAX | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 145 | 40.7%59 W · 86 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8f…df31backed 3DMAX | 65c | 91.84$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed 3DMAX | 50c | 81.56$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.78 | 132 | 23.5%31 W · 101 L | -10.5wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7514…49bebacked Legacy | 45c | 66.07$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.07 | 317 | 58%184 W · 133 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee2…6473backed Legacy | 73c | 60.27$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.27 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.