TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Spread: FK Mornar Bar (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Atlétic Club d'Escaldesof FK Mornar Bar, Atlétic Club d'Escaldes
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,319
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,353

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,319 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Atlétic Club d'Escaldes51c1,695$865 inWon+$829.53,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed FK Mornar Bar50c1,623$807 inLost-$806.541,60438.9%624 W · 980 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x800a…0b4dbacked FK Mornar Bar45c868.64$393 inLost-$392.614341.9%18 W · 25 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Atlétic Club d'Escaldes58c645.8$374 inWon+$271.632,47333.9%839 W · 1,634 L-95.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked FK Mornar Bar51c467.35$238 inLost-$238.352,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Atlétic Club d'Escaldes56c426$240 inWon+$186.092,33341.7%972 W · 1,361 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked FK Mornar Bar33c195.24$65 inLost-$64.7377855%428 W · 350 L+23.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Atlétic Club d'Escaldes60c175.18$105 inWon+$70.0715544.5%69 W · 86 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Atlétic Club d'Escaldes61c145.99$89 inWon+$56.9431842.1%134 W · 184 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed FK Mornar Bar39c145.33$57 inLost-$56.689451.1%48 W · 46 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Atlétic Club d'Escaldes51c119.2$61 inWon+$57.9597346%448 W · 525 L-4.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Atlétic Club d'Escaldes51c105.96$54 inWon+$52.3285260.9%519 W · 333 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Atlétic Club d'Escaldes64c100$64 inWon+$3612355.3%68 W · 55 L-0.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc6d…31cebacked Atlétic Club d'Escaldes20c100$20 inWon+$803246.9%15 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+28%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed FK Mornar Bar51c98.04$50 inLost-$5017447.7%83 W · 91 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Atlétic Club d'Escaldes67c83.99$56 inWon+$27.7296947.5%460 W · 509 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x747f…f2d7backed Atlétic Club d'Escaldes65c79.95$52 inWon+$27.9823653%125 W · 111 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed FK Mornar Bar44c41.3$18 inLost-$18.326657.6%38 W · 28 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed FK Mornar Bar48c27.41$13 inLost-$13.242,16737.6%815 W · 1,352 L+5.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee84…becbbacked FK Mornar Bar51c26.78$14 inLost-$13.66742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa81…aaf7backed Atlétic Club d'Escaldes55c21.81$12 inWon+$9.816659.1%39 W · 27 L+6.8wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+32.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.