CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Sangal vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe57c8bac1ca24e6ebd76ef5823d09570ac8acb035325dcfee2b32bf1d4f1224e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sangalof Sangal, ex-Zero Tenacity
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,486
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,486 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Sangal | 37c | 1,502$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.93 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a46…ab25backed Sangal | 42c | 1,349$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.31 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Sangal | 41c | 955.55$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.31 | 392 | 48.7%191 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Sangal | 44c | 707.96$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.78 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 60c | 698.36$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.8 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Sangal | 33c | 534$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.78 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Sangal | 37c | 442$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.48 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 54c | 385.18$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.39 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 32c | 381.16$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.86 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 62c | 327$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.45 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x893d…d65bbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 70c | 305.37$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.61 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 43c | 283.68$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.14 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Sangal | 46c | 203.27$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.28 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x796c…49dbbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 75c | 200$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 60c | 177.99$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.87 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 57c | 176.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92f8…0e1fbacked Sangal | 32c | 150$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 129 | 46.5%60 W · 69 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 40c | 83.33$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 51c | 77.05$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93de…f485backed Sangal | 37c | 75.59$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.62 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 66c | 75.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc62e…108dbacked Sangal | 45c | 72.04$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.62 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ae1…165cbacked Sangal | 73c | 67.81$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Sangal | 35c | 64$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Sangal | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 295 | 47.8%141 W · 154 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 54c | 43.2$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 59c | 42.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.88 | 156 | 48.1%75 W · 81 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Sangal | 39c | 30.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3a…f788backed Sangal | 52c | 24.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 163 | 38.7%63 W · 100 L | -13.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6b…591abacked Sangal | 69c | 22.74$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8213…48a3backed Sangal | 57c | 21.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Sangal vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Sangal vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #18 Group Stageex-Zero Tenacity won
- Counter-Strike: Sangal vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 2 Winnerex-Zero Tenacity won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.