CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs TDK (BO3) - IZI WEX Group C
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe58d303879f89e06a6262946c72ab89fd1364baf973bdcb80fddba9f8f9cbe20
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TDKof 1WIN, TDK
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,481
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,564
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,481 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafa7…9f8fbacked TDK | 33c | 1,380$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +120%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked TDK | 62c | 1,376$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.43 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cdd…46b8backed 1WIN | 67c | 1,273$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa11a…8dfebacked 1WIN | 3c | 1,071$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed 1WIN | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed 1WIN | 24c | 370.01$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.45 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed 1WIN | 46c | 305$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.3 | 189 | 43.4%82 W · 107 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…d550backed 1WIN | 68c | 146.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -9.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x829f…a63ebacked 1WIN | 46c | 115.67$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.75 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed TDK | 33c | 112.27$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.8 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | +29.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa423…a37ebacked 1WIN | 67c | 107$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x341f…8785backed 1WIN | 51c | 99.98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8695…9afabacked 1WIN | 64c | 80.18$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.71 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 63cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a38…2a21backed TDK | 68c | 74.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.04 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed TDK | 37c | 70.01$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.07 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed 1WIN | 34c | 59.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…8eb1backed 1WIN | 54c | 56.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcf…75c6backed 1WIN | 31c | 55.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -5.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…1208backed TDK | 63c | 52.81$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.56 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed 1WIN | 47c | 50.63$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed TDK | 55c | 43.24$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +6.5wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe09a…e8d1backed TDK | 46c | 35.84$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked TDK | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7f…f922backed TDK | 65c | 30.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.61 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf80…6c2bbacked 1WIN | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1512…68f3backed 1WIN | 40c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 291 | 53.6%156 W · 135 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x278c…d9d9backed 1WIN | 76c | 26.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked 1WIN | 46c | 26.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 47 | 76.6%36 W · 11 L | +9.9wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +35%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked TDK | 49c | 20.59$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bbb…2948backed 1WIN | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 170 | 70%119 W · 51 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked TDK | 67c | 18.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4287…3d5ebacked 1WIN | 62c | 16.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe04f…c4e4backed 1WIN | 63c | 15.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.