Tennis · resolved market
ITF Uriage: Daniel Jade vs Alexandre Aubriot
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe596aae1ea7c6f431e83214be4496516916aa1e955db2527a2da819d4b06017a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Daniel Jadeof Daniel Jade, Alexandre Aubriot
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,999
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,172
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,999 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Alexandre Aubriot | 18c | 3,851$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.04 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Daniel Jade | 69c | 1,968$1,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.05 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Alexandre Aubriot | 23c | 1,830$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.99 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Alexandre Aubriot | 34c | 1,376$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.15 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Daniel Jade | 58c | 740.76$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.52 | 397 | 51.4%204 W · 193 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Alexandre Aubriot | 31c | 339.73$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.12 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Alexandre Aubriot | 15c | 228.72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.08 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Daniel Jade | 73c | 218.72$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.68 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Daniel Jade | 73c | 199.99$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 394 | 51.3%202 W · 192 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x150c…add3backed Daniel Jade | 75c | 132.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.53 | 206 | 70.4%145 W · 61 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57e7…84e9backed Alexandre Aubriot | 18c | 126.66$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.74 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Alexandre Aubriot | 22c | 116.51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.63 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Alexandre Aubriot | 45c | 113.61$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.26 | 788 | 47.5%374 W · 414 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Daniel Jade | 70c | 108.52$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.44 | 829 | 58.1%482 W · 347 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Daniel Jade | 66c | 108.27$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.98 | 482 | 45.6%220 W · 262 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…ad87backed Alexandre Aubriot | 21c | 98.44$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Daniel Jade | 73c | 98.03$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.47 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Daniel Jade | 71c | 85.38$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.76 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Alexandre Aubriot | 25c | 70$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Daniel Jade | 70c | 67$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Alexandre Aubriot | 21c | 65.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…b543backed Daniel Jade | 64c | 62.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…206cbacked Alexandre Aubriot | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 856 | 37.7%323 W · 533 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30b8…b6a0backed Daniel Jade | 75c | 56$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8920…9c0cbacked Daniel Jade | 74c | 53.3$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Alexandre Aubriot | 32c | 38.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Daniel Jade | 66c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 557 | 48.8%272 W · 285 L | +23.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Daniel Jade | 64c | 26.49$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac06…f93dbacked Daniel Jade | 67c | 25.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Daniel Jade | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 821 | 59.4%488 W · 333 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Daniel Jade | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.