Cricket · resolved market
T20 Hong Kong Tri-Series, Women: China vs Malaysia
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe59fc42892e8772659691feb73a2a23469c5f70294c541dc2060c46ce73c3fc2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chinaof China, Malaysia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,578
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,297
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,578 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked Malaysia | 7c | 2,574$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.28 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | +84.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x276b…c0c8backed Malaysia | 7c | 1,900$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 11cpaid | +179.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f6…55aabacked Malaysia | 6c | 1,400$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +264%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf50d…7ba8backed Malaysia | 4c | 1,200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.30per pick | 10cpaid | +280.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd607…6ddcbacked Malaysia | 4c | 1,200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.34per pick | 11cpaid | +306.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed Malaysia | 7c | 1,100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…cf8abacked Malaysia | 7c | 1,100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.19per pick | 18cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc582…853cbacked Malaysia | 4c | 1,060$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Malaysia | 3c | 950$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94ba…001dbacked Malaysia | 3c | 900$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…0574backed Malaysia | 4c | 800$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0580…f78bbacked Malaysia | 4c | 800$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed Malaysia | 4c | 800$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 3cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Malaysia | 4c | 800$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked Malaysia | 4c | 800$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 5cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked China | 19c | 399.34$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.61 | 569 | 37.1%211 W · 358 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x238d…eb74backed Malaysia | 5c | 375$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +141.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d8…0175backed Malaysia | 4c | 300$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked China | 46c | 252.17$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.94 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cd…820fbacked China | 26c | 133.94$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.09 | 187 | 29.4%55 W · 132 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd348…0265backed China | 54c | 116.61$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.43 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f38…6720backed China | 50c | 87.8$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.49 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Malaysia | 42c | 85.53$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.79 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Malaysia | 80c | 65$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Malaysia | 75c | 57.86$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.45 | 419 | 47.5%199 W · 220 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06b7…e26bbacked China | 30c | 50.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Malaysia | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 378 | 48.1%182 W · 196 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Malaysia | 36c | 32.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43fe…26eebacked China | 67c | 29.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 470 | 61.5%289 W · 181 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21fa…53cdbacked Malaysia | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 79 | 65.8%52 W · 27 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.