South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2025-11-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5de7cfcb4e4c77c546e657142e8c071d047fabaa09b8fe60c6dcae33d2d330d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $107,666
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $106,842
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,666 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 30c | 75,000$22,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,624.99 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Yes | 59c | 40,018$23,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,288.54 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 71c | 11,670$8,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,392.18 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 77c | 6,995$5,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,617.9 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 52c | 2,335$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225.19 | 332 | 51.8%172 W · 160 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…73f0backed Yes | 48c | 1,361$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.18 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed No | 50c | 1,115$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.56 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 51c | 716.54$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.76 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 52c | 538.34$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.01 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 17c | 451.42$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.76 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d6…36cbbacked Yes | 47c | 343.54$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 55c | 202.47$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.36 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…dba5backed No | 56c | 190$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b7…f5e6backed Yes | 44c | 189$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…c55dbacked No | 57c | 189$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84b6…7a6cbacked No | 56c | 189$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed3a…694fbacked Yes | 44c | 188$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7650…f2b2backed No | 56c | 188$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63dc…c6dabacked Yes | 44c | 188$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf72d…fcb2backed Yes | 43c | 188$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x862c…a6acbacked No | 58c | 187$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x693b…167bbacked Yes | 44c | 187$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4218…7063backed Yes | 44c | 187$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 48cpaid | +111.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa85…bdb3backed Yes | 44c | 186.4$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +128.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 42c | 186.05$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.24 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b7…60e9backed No | 57c | 186$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa4…76b3backed Yes | 44c | 186$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +111.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x814a…ac1bbacked No | 56c | 186$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdef7…0300backed No | 56c | 185$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 63c | 150.14$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.48 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed No | 55c | 150$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.19 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 51c | 136.66$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.09 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed No | 52c | 131.43$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.76 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8deb…d8e2backed Yes | 52c | 130.5$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.1 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 50c | 126$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 55c | 115.37$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.62 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 53c | 113.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.12 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -7.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…9a7dbacked Yes | 46c | 112.39$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.69 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 55c | 98.5$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.75 | 266 | 59.8%159 W · 107 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7982…86c4backed Yes | 43c | 59.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.19 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 76c | 55$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x41f1…7212backed No | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 51c | 45.45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 47c | 44.51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 51c | 43.74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcde8…aa8fbacked Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc609…f29abacked Yes | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec76…1e40backed Yes | 46c | 30.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…cfadbacked Yes | 58c | 30.1$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90a3…1701backed Yes | 46c | 23.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe32c…db1bbacked No | 53c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…eea2backed Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2025-11-19?this page
- Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2025-11-19?No won
- Will Grêmio FBPA vs. CR Vasco da Gama end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.