Tennis · resolved market
ITF W15 Tianjin 2 Women: Eva Marie Desvignes vs Shihomi Li Xuan Leong
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe60db55ebd4128b78fe68dfffda6d1f1769af26024d8a798d941a41940d374c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shihomi Li Xuan Leongof Eva Marie Desvignes, Shihomi Li Xuan Leong
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,209
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,366
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,209 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Shihomi Li Xuan Leong | 19c | 1,656$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340.74 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Eva Marie Desvignes | 77c | 1,133$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.33 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Eva Marie Desvignes | 37c | 746.57$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.18 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Eva Marie Desvignes | 68c | 398.95$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.11 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Shihomi Li Xuan Leong | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 300 | 53.7%161 W · 139 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Shihomi Li Xuan Leong | 63c | 210.95$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.05 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…986cbacked Shihomi Li Xuan Leong | 65c | 184.03$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.41 | 636 | 48%305 W · 331 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed Eva Marie Desvignes | 74c | 98.71$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.78 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Eva Marie Desvignes | 71c | 98.36$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.29 | 489 | 47.4%232 W · 257 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7d…7161backed Eva Marie Desvignes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0c…47eabacked Shihomi Li Xuan Leong | 29c | 39.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.25 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1367…9a3abacked Eva Marie Desvignes | 36c | 35.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Shihomi Li Xuan Leong | 59c | 32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 568 | 27.3%155 W · 413 L | +23.1wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Shihomi Li Xuan Leong | 63c | 31.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.69 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Shihomi Li Xuan Leong | 64c | 16.01$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05b2…953bbacked Eva Marie Desvignes | 77c | 14.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.