Tennis · resolved market
ITF Wuning: Thantub Suksumrarn vs Yua Taka
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe62e8baa457b2d361d18a566c691d8abe750b640e34df8169c834242ca45312c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yua Takaof Thantub Suksumrarn, Yua Taka
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,423
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,299
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,423 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9ba1…6d1dbacked Thantub Suksumrarn | 56c | 615.78$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.31 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Thantub Suksumrarn | 47c | 553.77$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.07 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Yua Taka | 44c | 302.63$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.47 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yua Taka | 44c | 280.18$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.97 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yua Taka | 44c | 249.99$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yua Taka | 46c | 232.84$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.72 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa373…b6dcbacked Yua Taka | 50c | 199.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.59 | 543 | 48.1%261 W · 282 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Thantub Suksumrarn | 26c | 157.69$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Thantub Suksumrarn | 26c | 157.69$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yua Taka | 62c | 143.08$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.11 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Thantub Suksumrarn | 26c | 126.92$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Yua Taka | 48c | 104.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.16 | 372 | 38.2%142 W · 230 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Thantub Suksumrarn | 59c | 64.41$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 403 | 50.6%204 W · 199 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Thantub Suksumrarn | 59c | 64.38$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…bd2dbacked Thantub Suksumrarn | 60c | 50.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 165 | 49.7%82 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Yua Taka | 39c | 46.77$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.53 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Thantub Suksumrarn | 59c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9935…a6b4backed Thantub Suksumrarn | 59c | 24.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Thantub Suksumrarn | 59c | 16.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ITF Wuning: Thantub Suksumrarn vs Yua Takathis page
- Set 1 Winner: Suksumrarn vs TakaTaka won
- Suksumrarn vs. Taka: Match O/U 21.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.