La Liga · resolved market
Will CD Mirandés vs. Málaga CF end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe656edee3cb711d22bce4c5aedcab2d2a50035d0925fe1f22481727570d26f85
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,355
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,151
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,355 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 28c | 1,529$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.7 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 1,083$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.54 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 71c | 518.49$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.27 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 70c | 488$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.4 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 63c | 478.66$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.44 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 30c | 431.66$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.5 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 68c | 326.23$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.39 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Yes | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 102 | 33.3%34 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 27c | 245.82$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 140 | 23.6%33 W · 107 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Yes | 32c | 225.21$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.57 | 154 | 43.5%67 W · 87 L | -13.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1db5…79f4backed Yes | 73c | 190.84$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 28c | 183.62$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.41 | 129 | 25.6%33 W · 96 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Yes | 32c | 141$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.12 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 73c | 118.91$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.38 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 60c | 100.05$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.28 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed No | 69c | 99.98$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 57c | 97.5$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.66 | 481 | 53.6%258 W · 223 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…fadbbacked Yes | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 32c | 73.61$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.37 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 73c | 70$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 57c | 65.18$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.06 | 156 | 43.6%68 W · 88 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9472…ecd6backed Yes | 34c | 62.71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafb8…505cbacked No | 37c | 62.3$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.3 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 174 | 55.2%96 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 70c | 45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 43c | 37.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.61 | 351 | 45.6%160 W · 191 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 68c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 285 | 58.2%166 W · 119 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 68c | 15.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 504 | 49.8%251 W · 253 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Mirandés vs. Málaga CF end in a draw?this page
- Will CD Mirandés win on 2026-02-02?Yes won
- Will Málaga CF win on 2026-02-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.