La Liga · resolved market
Will CD Mirandés win on 2026-02-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c897d935a04cd0157fe7c31cf36f8ed05a8ac0400a2889cd33e9ce8b05ed4d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,343
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,246
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,343 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 27c | 10,762$2,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,900.18 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed No | 70c | 5,332$3,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,715.95 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 69c | 1,443$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.01 | 504 | 49.8%251 W · 253 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 20c | 1,201$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.85 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 30c | 1,120$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.37 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed No | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f74…f2a6backed No | 42c | 952$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Yes | 31c | 737.29$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.73 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Yes | 29c | 549.96$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.46 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 57c | 528.51$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.01 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed No | 78c | 495$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.07 | 228 | 59.6%136 W · 92 L | +18.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 66c | 487.87$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.23 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked No | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…61b4backed No | 43c | 461.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 30c | 436.27$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.39 | 129 | 25.6%33 W · 96 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 21c | 415.79$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.79 | 140 | 23.6%33 W · 107 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 56c | 374.38$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.49 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9078backed No | 42c | 346.99$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.7 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Yes | 34c | 265.3$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.75 | 154 | 43.5%67 W · 87 L | -13.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed No | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 31c | 223.43$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.18 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked No | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 31c | 200$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +8.4wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 35c | 191.27$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.1 | 156 | 43.6%68 W · 88 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 32c | 164.66$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.22 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked No | 69c | 162$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.78 | 115 | 59.1%68 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f97…a9b3backed No | 44c | 146.74$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 54c | 142.43$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.46 | 481 | 53.6%258 W · 223 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 49c | 142.21$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.35 | 351 | 45.6%160 W · 191 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b2…2658backed No | 38c | 136.1$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Yes | 32c | 124.69$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.79 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Yes | 30c | 122.41$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.28 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 29c | 109.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.1 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3e…ef94backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 31c | 98.06$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.06 | 307 | 49.2%151 W · 156 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 47c | 92.16$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.39 | 596 | 55.4%330 W · 266 L | +31.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafb8…505cbacked Yes | 28c | 90.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.11 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Yes | 59c | 85.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.17 | 168 | 65.5%110 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8df3…9d6bbacked Yes | 14c | 70.04$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.04 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 34c | 65.01$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.95 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd537…4bfabacked Yes | 66c | 61.76$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 57c | 57.52$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.01 | 174 | 55.2%96 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1c…a9a5backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Yes | 23c | 47.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.37 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x969d…6309backed No | 66c | 36.08$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8deb…0139backed No | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 73cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed No | 43c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 216 | 48.6%105 W · 111 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 42c | 34.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 70c | 29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 285 | 58.2%166 W · 119 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed0…1942backed Yes | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 69c | 23.48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 57c | 20.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 180 | 62.2%112 W · 68 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf617…7ff1backed Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…a7a0backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e85…443ebacked No | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6b…682bbacked No | 68c | 19.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked Yes | 64c | 15.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.71 | 40 | 77.5%31 W · 9 L | +7.2wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe113…375dbacked Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 78c | 13.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Mirandés win on 2026-02-02?this page
- Will CD Mirandés vs. Málaga CF end in a draw?No won
- Will Málaga CF win on 2026-02-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.