Tennis · resolved market
Tigre: Guido Justo vs Facundo Acosta
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe6818e179692ba841fbe7d673dbd392f844410514444c26cf47895b86e0831be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Justoof Justo, Acosta
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,300
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,302
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,300 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x972b…78babacked Acosta | 22c | 378.96$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.37 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Justo | 24c | 234.41$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.49 | 3,884 | 35%1,358 W · 2,526 L | +92.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Justo | 66c | 217.99$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.47 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Acosta | 22c | 210.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.44 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…f163backed Acosta | 74c | 161.81$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 398 | 72.4%288 W · 110 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Acosta | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Justo | 51c | 122.65$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.28 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Justo | 52c | 110.15$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.2 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Justo | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa864…e47bbacked Acosta | 72c | 72.13$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Justo | 60c | 70$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.87 | 134 | 56.7%76 W · 58 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Acosta | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Justo | 37c | 66.13$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.93 | 930 | 48.8%454 W · 476 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Acosta | 38c | 57.84$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.71 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…aa01backed Acosta | 73c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 333 | 64.9%216 W · 117 L | -19.4wins | -0.06per pick | 71cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Justo | 74c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.17 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Acosta | 72c | 22.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 423 | 58.6%248 W · 175 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Acosta | 77c | 22.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 580 | 67.8%393 W · 187 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f3…1fc1backed Acosta | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x170f…790bbacked Acosta | 61c | 20.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4324…1390backed Acosta | 56c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.