Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Landaluce vs Musetti
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe6a4cf34111fb664d7c2f4a431aadfe7c792611f0163acd19f805427a3dccae1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Musettiof Landaluce, Musetti
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,504
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,612
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,504 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Landaluce | 45c | 1,857$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.42 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…1200backed Musetti | 56c | 1,169$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.69 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b9…db19backed Musetti | 62c | 761.41$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.07 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Musetti | 56c | 556.94$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.92 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd85a…1d03backed Landaluce | 78c | 379.79$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.03 | 105 | 71.4%75 W · 30 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Musetti | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 132 | 37.9%50 W · 82 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Landaluce | 46c | 201.67$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.67 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Musetti | 38c | 200$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 584 | 38.2%223 W · 361 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…b336backed Musetti | 66c | 139.59$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.51 | 103 | 55.3%57 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Landaluce | 44c | 125.07$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.5 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae4…bf8cbacked Musetti | 70c | 120.79$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.24 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b89…0d9cbacked Musetti | 74c | 103.36$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.87 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Landaluce | 62c | 97.72$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.59 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Landaluce | 51c | 97.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Landaluce | 26c | 88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Landaluce | 31c | 80$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 246 | 32.9%81 W · 165 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Landaluce | 30c | 72.68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Landaluce | 50c | 69.95$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.19 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53f9…e920backed Landaluce | 52c | 65.37$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1548…294ebacked Musetti | 56c | 43.74$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Landaluce | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 290 | 39.3%114 W · 176 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Landaluce | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 452 | 35.8%162 W · 290 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Landaluce | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 482 | 35.9%173 W · 309 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Landaluce | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 694 | 38%264 W · 430 L | +21.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Landaluce | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 257 | 37%95 W · 162 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Landaluce | 40c | 39.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.03 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Landaluce | 74c | 33.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 265 | 48.7%129 W · 136 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Landaluce | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 450 | 51.8%233 W · 217 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Landaluce | 41c | 25.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 423 | 59.1%250 W · 173 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Musetti | 73c | 21.6$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Landaluce vs Musettithis page
- Barcelona Open: Martin Landaluce vs Lorenzo MusettiLorenzo Musetti won
- Landaluce vs. Musetti: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Landaluce vs. Musetti: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Martin Landaluce vs. Lorenzo Musetti: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set Handicap: Musetti (-1.5) vs Landaluce (+1.5)Musetti won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.