Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Musetti (-1.5) vs Landaluce (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x526bda19d747387beaa0005439a28d021ff228ef1945daeb74aa9375cd9351d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Musettiof Musetti, Landaluce
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,012
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,024
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,012 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc181…0992backed Musetti | 58c | 1,177$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.78 | 656 | 51.8%340 W · 316 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Landaluce | 42c | 928.38$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.92 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Landaluce | 45c | 666.81$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.01 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…83babacked Musetti | 53c | 549.38$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.64 | 847 | 36%305 W · 542 L | -35.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…e9d3backed Musetti | 59c | 410.92$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.46 | 287 | 62.4%179 W · 108 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Landaluce | 49c | 400$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8b…88cbbacked Landaluce | 65c | 376.54$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.75 | 100 | 65%65 W · 35 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81d9…3d1fbacked Musetti | 58c | 362.43$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.02 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61ec…838fbacked Musetti | 59c | 329.37$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.26 | 188 | 68.6%129 W · 59 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa373…b6dcbacked Landaluce | 47c | 309$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.23 | 543 | 48.1%261 W · 282 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ece…8786backed Landaluce | 46c | 210.35$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.76 | 155 | 48.4%75 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…5018backed Landaluce | 57c | 205.59$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.89 | 208 | 44.2%92 W · 116 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Musetti | 54c | 154.54$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.4 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Landaluce | 46c | 127.09$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.46 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…3b7dbacked Musetti | 50c | 97.03$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.05 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Landaluce | 44c | 80.01$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.57 | 552 | 41.3%228 W · 324 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Landaluce | 47c | 60.92$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.59 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Landaluce | 43c | 49.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 957 | 42.1%403 W · 554 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Musetti | 47c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.15 | 486 | 37.7%183 W · 303 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Landaluce | 52c | 27.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb5…f531backed Musetti | 46c | 25.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.51 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Musetti (-1.5) vs Landaluce (+1.5)this page
- Barcelona Open: Martin Landaluce vs Lorenzo MusettiLorenzo Musetti won
- Landaluce vs. Musetti: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Landaluce vs. Musetti: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Martin Landaluce vs. Lorenzo Musetti: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Landaluce vs MusettiMusetti won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.